SUFFOLK UNIVERSITY/BOSTON GLOBE NH POLL SHOWS BIDEN LEADING DEMOCRATS

[left-of-center2012]

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads a long list of Democratic hopefuls seeking the 2020 presidential nomination less than a week after he announced his candidacy, according to a new Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll of New Hampshire general election voters. A key factor for Democrats appears to be whether their nominee can prevail over President Donald Trump in 2020.

South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, a relative newcomer to the national scene, is surging.

Of the 24 potential Democratic candidate choices presented in the poll, Biden was the choice of 20 percent of voters in his party, followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Buttigieg (tied at 12 percent), Warren (8 percent), California Sen. Kamala Harris (6 percent), and former Texas Congressman Beto O’Rourke and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker (tied at 3 percent), with the other candidates at less than 2 percent and 27 percent undecided.

“Despite the dauntingly large number of candidates potentially on the New Hampshire ballot, more than half of possible Democratic primary voters are split among just four names: Biden, Sanders, Buttigieg and Warren,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. “It will be challenging for one of the lesser-known candidates to vault over Biden, two senators from neighboring states, and Buttigieg, the youthful alternative with great momentum, given their respective bases—even with more than one in four New Hampshire voters still undecided.”

https://www.suffolk.edu/news-features/news/2019/04/30/02/59/suffolk-university-boston-globe-nh-poll-shows-biden-leading-democrats

[crazytown]

1. The poll is prior to Biden's Announcement.

[left-of-center2012]

2. Sorry, but you are wrong. Biden announced April 25, 2019

"The statewide survey of 800 likely general election voters was conducted April 25 – April 28, 2019"

[crazytown]

3. Sorry, I should have said before his Announcement rally.

The numbers here are radically different from later polls.

[left-of-center2012]

4. later polls?

This poll was taken this past week.

Not sure what your point is?

[crazytown]

6. Point taken. You're right.

I’m comparing it with the April 26 - 29, Quinnipiac Poll.

Biden 38%
Warren 12%
Sanders 11%
Buttigieg 10%
Harris 8%
O'Rourke 5%
Booker 2%

[NurseJackie]

8. Wow! BS's poll numbers are CRATERING!

[crazytown]

9. Next up: 4th to Mayor Pete and Warren

Them’s the heart brakes.

[NYMinute]

10. BS is driving a car with bald tires on slick ice

No traction

[NurseJackie]

12. It's best to avoid driving on ice because you usually end up stuck in the ditch.

Here's what happens when a bus tries to go uphill on an ice-covered street.



(Fortunately nobody was hurt.)

[WeekiWater]

5. I really feel that Buttigieg is going to play a major role in our party moving forward.

He seems to get respect from the Democratic Coalition(what those opposed to progress refer to as the establishment) and many outsiders. It's fun to watch. I do think he is going to have to garner a little more recognition but his current trend is going to make that happen quickly. I'm really glad to see him rising in the polls.

I wish Warren was doing better but she is still doing well. I think she is going to benefit as Sanders tanks. I really do think there are a lot of people like me who question how she is handling her fundraising. I really think we have to fight with all of the tools at our disposal. If it wasn't for that one aspect she is by far my favorite person in the race. Warren has built a solid group of people in the early states. I have read lots of stories about it. I am a bit hesitant to think it will be a game changer as O'Malley had done the same thing. I thought O'Malley was going to do much better just because of the coalitions he had built on the ground in the early states. It didn't materialize into votes. Things are much different this time so comparisons are hard to make.

Harris is another one I really like. To be fair, I really only dislike to of our candidates. I think she is polling respectfully considering name recognition. I look forward to seeing her in the debates and love her speaking on this elevated platform.


I think it's interesting that the recent trend in polling is bringing the top to bottom candidates more inline with the DU selection.

Lastly, as a side note, how about Perez as the head of the DNC? I've been really happy with his performance. Not an easy job.

It's a great time to be a Democrat!

[crazytown]

7. Warren doing better here:-

In the April 26 - 29, Quinnipiac Poll.

Biden 38%
Warren 12%
Sanders 11%
Buttigieg 10%
Harris 8%
O'Rourke 5%
Booker 2%

[BlueFlorida]

11. I think Bernie should drop out

and endorse Elizabeth Warren who can carry forward his policies.

Bernie is just being a fly in the ointment at the moment and is getting no traction on his tired message. By dropping out, he will be able to leave in dignity and remain an elder statesman.

[Cha]

13. Kick!