New poll from Emerson: Biden 33%, Sanders 25% (13 pt swing toward Biden from last month)

[highplainsdem]

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/may-national-poll-biden-back-in-the-lead-for-the-democratic-nomination

A new Emerson National Poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden with a bump from his official entrance into the race, taking back the lead over Senator Bernie Sanders. The poll finds Biden with 33% and Sanders with 25%. The April Emerson Poll had Sanders ahead of Biden 29% to 24% making this a 13 point swing in favor of the former Vice President. Senator Kamala Harris and Senator Elizabeth Warren are tied for 3rd with each getting 10% of the vote, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg rounds out the top 5 with 8%. No other candidate in the field clears 3% (n=429, +/-4.7%, MM, May 10-13, 2019).

A majority of Democratic primary voters, 56%, indicate there is a chance they could change their mind and vote for another candidate, whereas 44% say they will definitely vote for the candidate they are currently supporting. Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson Polling notes that “Biden and Sanders have more loyal supporters, as 52% and 54% of their voters say they will definitely vote for the top two candidates, while only 33% of Harris voters, 27% of Buttigieg and 20% of Warren voters plan to definitely stick with their preferred candidate.”

A strength for Sanders throughout this early stage of the nominating process has been the support of younger voters. Sanders currently leads Biden among 18-29 year old voters, by an impressive 41% to 11%. However, Sanders’ support weakens with age: 30-49 year olds only break for Sanders 29% to 26%, as compared to 50-64 year olds who break for Biden 42% to 19%. Among those over 65, Biden has a strong lead, beating Sanders 52% to 7%.

-snip-

In head to head matchups between Trump and his top Democratic rivals, Trump trails Biden and Sanders and is in a statistical dead heat with the other candidates.

Biden 54%, Trump 46%
Sanders 54%, Trump 46%
O’Rourke 52%, Trump 48%
Warren 51%, Trump 48%
Harris 51%, Trump 49%
Buttigieg 50%, Trump 50%

This is NOT great news for Sanders, with Biden retaking the lead.

But there's been so little good news for Sanders in the polls lately that David Sirota tweeted about this, which is how I found out about it.

Link to tweet

[Cha]

1. KR!

[Doodley]

2. Last month's Emerson poll was the ONLY poll that ever had Bernie ahead.

[highplainsdem]

4. Yep. And Sirota is even pointing out this month's because it shows Sanders closer to Biden than

any other recent poll.

I haven't checked the poll internals but saw a tweet saying they show Sanders leading Biden among black voters.

I find that VERY unlikely, given what all the other recent polls have shown. But if Emerson somehow found more support for Sanders among black voters, that helps explain why Sanders is only 8 points behind in this poll.

[Kahuna7]

6. YYYYUP! nt

[Skya Rhen]

3. Good stuff!

[FloridaBlues]

5. Sanders slide is significant to the point of no more front runner!

Going to be hard to keep saying he is at this point

[Scurrilous]

7. ...