Biden Leads in UMass Amherst Poll of New Hampshire Voters One Year Before Primary Voting

[DemocratSinceBirth]

AMHERST, Mass. — A year out from the New Hampshire presidential primary, former Vice President Joe Biden, who has yet to declare whether he will run for president in 2020, is the early preferred Democratic nominee among likely Democratic primary voters in the Granite State, according to a new poll released today by the University of Massachusetts Amherst.

When asked which candidate they would support if the Democratic presidential primary were held today, 28 percent of likely Democratic voters supported Biden, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont with 20 percent, Sen. Kamala Harris of California with 14 percent of voters, and 9 percent of voters indicting their support for Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts. Fourteen percent of voters were undecided.

Detailed information on the poll, including crosstabs, can be found here.

“With a roster full of fresh, young faces vying to be the Democratic Party’s nominee, New Hampshire’s Democratic primary voters seem more comfortable handing the reins to a seasoned veteran,” says Tatishe Nteta, associate professor of political science and director of the UMass Poll. “While early, our results suggest that this race is Joe Biden’s for the taking. The question is whether he wants it or not.”

Jesse Rhodes, associate professor of political science and associate director of the UMass Poll, agrees that New Hampshire voters are putting more stock in the familiar with Biden. “While Biden hasn't officially entered the race, the fact that he is a known quantity gives him a big advantage over less-familiar candidates like Kamala Harris or Beto O'Rourke,” Rhodes said. “It also gives him an advantage over other more familiar candidates like Elizabeth Warren or Bernie Sanders, who many Democrats might like on the issues but fear is too liberal to win in a head-to-head contest with Trump."

https://www.umass.edu/newsoffice/article/presidential-politics-biden-leads-umass

[RandySF]

1. That makes him Sirota's next target.

[Kingofalldems]

2. Kick and rec.

[RGinNJ]

3. It will be fun to watch

[Jose Garcia]

4. If Sanders can't win NH, he is toast

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. That poll has some interesting nuggets

The poll also asked voters if they would be willing to vote for a different candidate, and 82 percent of voters said they would support another candidate. When their initial preferred candidate was excluded from the list of candidates, Harris topped the list of second choices at 28 percent, followed by Biden at 26 percent, Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey at 24 percent, Warren of Massachusetts at 22 percent and Sanders at 21 percent.

...


When asked which Democratic candidate they would not be willing to vote for in a general election, 26 percent of voters pointed to Warren, followed by former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg at 23 percent and Sanders with 21 percent.

[honest.abe]

6. Sanders numbers are pretty pathetic given his name recognition is probably 100%.

If he does poorly in NH he has zero chance.

[Scurrilous]

7. K&R

[Cha]

8. Thanks!

[roamer65]

9. Biden/Harris 2020.

[Cha]

10. KICK!