Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumSanders banking on Iowa win to surge past Biden
BY ALEXANDER BOLTON - 05/31/19 06:00 AM EDT
Bernie Sanderss campaign is all but guaranteeing a win next year in Iowa, a key caucus state that the Vermont senator views as critical to winning the Democratic presidential nomination.
Campaign co-chairman Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) says Sanders will win Iowa -- a bold prediction eight months ahead of the caucus scheduled for Feb. 3, where he will be up against Democratic rivals like Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) and former Vice President Joe Biden.
I fully anticipate hell win Iowa, having been on the ground there. And I think hes going to do very well in New Hampshire and then there will be fight between him and probably Warren and Biden, Khanna said. Id be very surprised if he doesnt win Iowa.
Sanders, who has slipped in national polls recently, is counting on a strong showing in Iowa to give him momentum heading into New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina the second, third, and fourth contests of the primary season before Super Tuesday on March 3.
more
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/446265-sanders-banking-on-iowa-win-to-surge-past-biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BeyondGeography
(39,370 posts)Because Warren is going to take Iowa.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
trueblue2007
(17,217 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
democratisphere
(17,235 posts)OK.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
comradebillyboy
(10,144 posts)down though.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tarc
(10,476 posts)Honestly.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Do you know anyone who has ever participated in the Iowa caucuses? My daughter did, when she lived there and went to school there. She was a leader for Kerry, but she still found the process bullying, unfair and very undemocratic.
How do the Sanders people plan on winning? I hope they do not plan on shouting people down or closing the doors too early.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MrsCoffee
(5,801 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
comradebillyboy
(10,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LonePirate
(13,419 posts)1. Sanders will win Iowa or
2. Someone in his campaign will cite a conspiracy involving the DNC and any competitor who finishes ahead of him
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BlueMTexpat
(15,368 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ProudMNDemocrat
(16,784 posts)Bernie will break the top 5, but that is all.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(92,187 posts)NOT!!!!!!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
hlthe2b
(102,236 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
nevergiveup
(4,759 posts)Sanders will continue to be a strong liberal voice in American politics but his days as a strong presidential
candidate are slipping away and he is not going to get them back. IMHO
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Homogenous white caucus state.
Not representative of Democratic electorate.
South Carolina is where the 2020 primary really starts.
Sid
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BeyondGeography
(39,370 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)2020 is not 2008.
Sid
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BeyondGeography
(39,370 posts)she needs to do well in Iowa.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
comradebillyboy
(10,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BeyondGeography
(39,370 posts)Try this: Ask Obama if Iowa is meaningless.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)Now I get the connection.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BeyondGeography
(39,370 posts)Iowa is especially important to black candidates, which is what I was responding to. A strong showing there proves viability on the national stage. After Iowa, HRCs numbers with AA voters plummeted in SC and Obamas soared. Iowa is not meaningless.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)"Iowa is especially important to black candidates"
Not sure what that would have to do with the topic being discussed in the first place.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BeyondGeography
(39,370 posts)See post above from Harris supporter who says Iowa is meaningless.
The example of Obama speaks for itself. Heres more:
They likely do not need outright wins in either of the first two states, but that is not the only type of winning. One can win or lose relative to expectations as well, Putnam said.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-harris/kamala-harris-carves-distinct-early-state-path-in-her-2020-white-house-bid-idUSKCN1RO2CX
Iowa is not meaningless.
We good now?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)You also didn't highlight the trend of importance.
The person one supports in the primary shouldn't hijack the direction of a discussion. It's not a point of discussion in itself.
Finally, what does the new article you bring into play have to do with the importance of Iowa to specifically black persons. That is a bit of an uncomfortable jump you made with that article.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
comradebillyboy
(10,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
andym
(5,443 posts)Dean severely underperformed his expectations. Wesley Clark decided to skip Iowa dooming his campaign. Kerry vaulted ahead of everyone to take a commanding lead that would not be relinquished.
As for Sanders, he might be surprised in Iowa by the strength of other candidates. Iowa has been a state to help launch underdog campaigns to the first tier-- little known Jimmy Carter in 1976 made his move there. Warren and Buttiegieg may prove stronger there than they seem now. O' Rourke excels at the local campaigning that is the bread and butter of Iowa. There are more than 20 candidates that might catch fire there. We will have to see.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SouthernProgressive
(1,810 posts)There are many factors at play.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
George II
(67,782 posts)...was a Senator from Iowa and was expected to win big (he got 77%). Finishing second was "Uncommitted"!
Clinton finished second in a huge field - Tsongas had only 33%, Clinton 25%, everyone else had 11% or less.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
andym
(5,443 posts)So it had little of its traditional effect.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,678 posts)Without cheating he has no chance.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(146,288 posts)So Ro Khanna thinks Bernie's gonna win Iowa, eh? Well, she would say that, wouldn't she?
She'd be "very surprised..."
No doubt. But, then, campaign managers get paid to say things like that...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,190 posts)a guy, FYI.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gender is fluid, innit?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hekate
(90,673 posts)...will have been winnowed out by the end of this year, and who wll be lining up for a chance at the VP slot.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)who used to sell their soybeans to China.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden