Democratic Primaries

DonViejo

(60,536 posts) Mon Mar 11, 2019, 09:43 AM Mar 2019

Biden's Early Polling Lead Probably Doesn't Matter

March 11, 2019 at 7:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard

Jonathan Bernstein: “With polls showing Biden and Sanders on top – not just nationwide, but in the early-voting states as well – I’ve seen a few pundits wondering whether the contest is less open than it once seemed. I think that’s a mistake. Yes, it’s better to have good poll numbers than bad. But we’ve already seen one candidate, Beto O’Rourke, have a polling surge. We’re almost certain to see others. If history tells us anything, it’s that almost any candidate can have at least a temporary surge, usually accompanied by a round of media attention. Many of those surges eventually collapse, but sometimes – think Barack Obama in 2008, or Sanders in 2016 – they persist.”

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https://politicalwire.com/2019/03/11/bidens-early-polling-lead-probably-doesnt-matter/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

5 replies

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Biden's Early Polling Lead Probably Doesn't Matter (Original Post) DonViejo Mar 2019 OP

It doesn't. Remember, Edwards was leading at this same time in Iowa. SKKY Mar 2019 #1

This message was self-deleted by its author emulatorloo Mar 2019 #4

A Better title from politicalwire would have been Early Polling Leads Probably don't Matter still_one Mar 2019 #2

When Joe Biden formally announces his run for the Presidency democratisphere Mar 2019 #3

I was talking about this with a co-worker today... SKKY Mar 2019 #5

SKKY

(11,821 posts)

1. It doesn't. Remember, Edwards was leading at this same time in Iowa.

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Mon Mar 11, 2019, 09:52 AM

Mar 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Response to SKKY (Reply #1)

emulatorloo This message was self-deleted by its author.

still_one

(92,395 posts)

2. A Better title from politicalwire would have been Early Polling Leads Probably don't Matter

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Mon Mar 11, 2019, 09:55 AM

Mar 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

democratisphere

(17,235 posts)

3. When Joe Biden formally announces his run for the Presidency

Reply to DonViejo (Original post)

Mon Mar 11, 2019, 10:38 AM

Mar 2019

his poll numbers will surge and he will remain and maintain his strong lead on top.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

SKKY

(11,821 posts)

5. I was talking about this with a co-worker today...

Reply to democratisphere (Reply #3)

Mon Mar 11, 2019, 12:43 PM

Mar 2019

...I said, what if Biden and Beto announce together. As in, they announce a Biden/O'Rourke ticket. That might be pretty close to game over.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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