7/15 Morning Consult poll, NATIONAL: Biden 32%, Sanders 19%, Warren 14%, Harris 13%

[highplainsdem]

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

[Cha]

1. Hmmm! Steady On, Biden!

Thanks for there, highplains

[crazytown]

2. Morning Consult has had Sanders at 19% for 10 weeks

They are nothing but {B-} consistent.

[highplainsdem]

7. They have him at 22% in the early primary states - see my other thread about that part of the poll:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287202729

Biden's also higher there, at 33%.

[SouthernProgressive]

3. The numbers at the link look a bit different.

What am I missing? Thank you.

[SouthernProgressive]

5. Never mind.

Problem seems to be with my eyes.

[highplainsdem]

6. At the top of the graph on that page you'll see two choices, for

Democratic Primary Voters (that will give you the national numbers) and Early Primary State Voters. Click on one link or the other and the graph below will change.

[Skya Rhen]

4. Yes - Biden, the clear front-runner!

[customerserviceguy]

12. So far, yes

But, clearly he took a pounding from the last debate, and I'm sure that the underhanded attacks will continue, hopefully he does a better job of handling them in real-time in the upcoming debates.

Also, if he remains at 32% or so, he won't have enough delegates for a first ballot victory, if the superdelegates hand him the nomination on the second ballot, there will be a lot of hard feelings to overcome.

[Thekaspervote]

13. i don't think that's a concern. As the field thins, and it will percentages will change

Especially considering who second choices are and how that might shake out

[customerserviceguy]

14. Well

if Amy Klobuchar's voters go to Biden, it won't make too much of a difference.

Somebody correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't the lowest tier only add up to 10-15% of the total? And there's no guarantee that it will go to one, two, or even three upper tier candidates.

[Demsrule86]

19. He won't remain at 32%...people vote for the perceived winner. And now that he has gone

full on to save and improve the ACA,it will be clearer and clearer he alone can beat Trump...wait for the state polls. And if he is ahead by 20 points then he wins...period...Clinton and Obama were not that far apart.

[customerserviceguy]

21. I do understand that

but if Biden takes another hit at the next debate, and especially if he sinks below one or two others in some state polls, he will not acquire that status as the perceived winner. I saw the thread about the California poll, and I didn't even see him registering on it.

It is true that Clinton and Obama were not that far apart in 2008, but I think we have a chance of there being more than two people left standing as we get into the later part of this. Sure, the vanity candidates and 3-4 percenters will be gone, but there's a reasonable chance that we will see it go down to the wire with Biden, Sanders (the Berniebots will never abandon him), Warren, Harris, and Buttigieg all staying in it to win it. Pete Buttigieg seems to have an enormous amount of financial support, I don't see that flagging any time soon.

[Demsrule86]

23. He won't ...and I would not expect Kamala to win the nomination...anyway.

If there are more than two still in the race...the person with the most delegates gets the nod...end of story...it could not be done any other way. And supers can vote on the second ballot ...they will as always vote for the winner of the primary...Clinton and Obama were close...but still Obama won...won't be any different this time.

[Scurrilous]

8. K&R

[bluewater]

9. Virtually unchanged from last week's poll.

Some +1% changes by Biden and Warren, -1% changes by Harris and Buttigieg.

All within the poll's margin of error.

"The interviews were collected from July 8-14, 2019 and have a margin of error of +/- 2%. "

The MorningConsult Poll has consistently been one of Joe Biden's strongest polls, with his support in the low 30's in recent weeks.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

Let's all celebrate this!

[oasis]

10. To the Greatest Page with no further delay.

And a kick for luck.

[thesquanderer]

11. Interesting that Biden & Sanders have almost identical favorables/unfavorables (nt)

[onetexan]

15. i'm surprised Elizabeth & Kamala aren't higher than Bernie in this poll

and that Andrew Yang is running neck & neck with Cory B.

[Vegas Roller]

16. Soon to be in single digits at a poll near you!

Senator BS

[joshcryer]

17. Sanders needs to drop out to give Warren and Harris a chance.

But knowing him he will stay in the race until it's long over and possibly all the way to the convention to take whatever delegates he has there and force some bullshit platform thing.

[JI7]

20. he would rather have Biden win than Warren or Harris

[Applegate]

22. Or vice versa.

"Some bullshit platform thing."

We wouldn't want a major candidate trying to influence the platform, would we? That would be so terrible.

[joshcryer]

25. No, we would not want some "major candidate"...

...installing Jill Stein supporters to the DNC platform committee.

No we would not want that at all.

[Demsrule86]

18. Well well...Biden is doing great.

[Nanjeanne]

24. I think it's great. We are going to have a wonderfully competitive primary and it's going to

highlight what kind of country we aspire to be. I like democracy and the candidates are doing a great job at showing us who they are and what they support.

Good luck to all of them.

[LakeArenal]

26. Is this one of those "still early" polls?