8/16 Zogby polls of AK and WA: 5 Dems beat Trump in WA, lose in AK

[highplainsdem]

Last edited Fri Aug 16, 2019, 07:00 PM - Edit history (2)

Biden wins by the second-widest margin of the 5 Democratic candidates they were polling on in Washington (+21; Sanders beats Trump by 22 points; the other three -- Warren, Harris and Buttigieg -- would beat Trump by 12-15 points). And Biden loses by the narrowest margin of the 5 candidates in Alaska (-5), within the MOE (Sanders loses by 7 points, the other three by 14-18 points).


https://247wallst.com/special-report/2019/08/16/24-7-wall-st-zogby-analytics-battleground-state-poll-most-alaskan-voters-do-not-support-trump-but-agree-on-certain-issues/4/

Former vice president, Joe Biden, is within the margin of error in a head to head race with Trump in Alaska (Trump leads 45% to 40%). Biden does well with Millennials (45% to 33%, Biden wins) and women (45% to 38%, Biden wins). Trump does best with voters over the of age 50, men and voters whose household income is over $50K, while Biden wins with voters whose household income is under $35K. Among Independents, the race was very close, Trump edges out Biden 39% to 36%.

In the state of Washington, voters decidedly favored Biden with more than half of their support to Trump’s third of support. This was true amongst all sub-groups surveyed.

When we match Trump and Bernie Sanders (I-VT), the race followed a similar pattern as with Joe Biden as the nominee. Sanders beat Trump convincingly among women (45% to 37%, Sanders wins) Millennials (55% to 33%, Sanders wins), Generation Z voters (51% to 36%, Sanders wins), and voters whose household income is less than $50K, while Trump wins with his base of men (56% to 28%, Trump wins), Independents (39% to 36%, Trump wins), voters over the age of 50, and those whose household income is more than $50K. In a head to head match-up in Washington, Sanders beat Trump convincingly by 22 percentage points, 54% to 32%.

Much more at the link.

This is a C-rated poll, with 78% accuracy in calling races.

[maxsolomon]

1. As to be expected.

AK is red, WA would be but for Seattle.

[highplainsdem]

2. True. But even in red AK, Biden is within 5 points of Trump, and Sanders is within 7, in

this poll (the other three lose to Trump by 14-18 points).

That's encouraging.

[Blue_true]

6. From what I understand, all big cities in Washington State are blue, including Spokane.

On the WestCoast of Washington State the cities are Seattle, Tacoma, Olympia, Vancouver, I believe all are blue. The Seattle area is actually a metroplex, there are a number of smaller cities which abut Seattle, I believe all are blue.

[bluewater]

3. Your claim Biden wins by the widest margin in Washington is WRONG, Sanders does better.

"Biden wins by the widest margin of the 5 Democratic candidates they were polling on in Washington (+21)"

Wrong.

OP says: It was Biden 52% Trump 31% for Biden +21

Sanders ACTUALLY wins by the widest margin they were polling in Washington (+22).

OP says: Sanders 54% Trump 32% for Sanders +22

[highplainsdem]

4. Whoops. I'll correct it. I misread the numbers.

[bluewater]

5. NP, Everyone makes mistakes.