Poll shows Biden, Warren tied with Trump in Arizona

[bluewater]

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) are statistically tied with President Trump in Arizona, a state that hasn't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate in a quarter century, according to a new poll.

The new survey conducted by OH Predictive Insights, a Phoenix-based nonpartisan pollster, shows Biden leading Trump by a 45 percent to 43 percent margin. Trump leads Warren 44 percent to 43 percent, the poll found.

Both results fall within the survey's margin of error, a sign that Trump will have to work harder to win Arizona's electoral votes than any Republican nominee this century.

The survey shows Trump running better against other potential Democratic nominees. He leads Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) 44 percent to 34 percent; he leads Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) 45 percent to 36 percent; and he leads South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) 43 percent to 38 percent.

Trump "is in the low- to mid-40s, which I'd say is a pretty big red flag," said Mike Noble, a Republican pollster and managing partner and chief of research at OH Predictive Insights. "He's not doing himself any favors for 2020 in a state he won in 2016."

In the group's last survey, conducted in May just after Biden entered the race, Trump led every Democratic candidate except Biden by a statistically significant margin. The May survey showed Biden leading Trump 49 percent to 44 percent.

Since that last survey, Noble said, Trump's approval ratings have sagged — and they have taken his head-to-head numbers against Democrats down with them. As a consequence, Trump now appears vulnerable in a state that has rarely been competitive at the presidential level.

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/458344-poll-shows-biden-warren-tied-with-trump-in-arizona

[C_U_L8R]

1. Republicans have a choice.

They can abandon Trump or sink with him.
It's gonna get interesting.

[Thekaspervote]

2. Go Joe!!

[zentrum]

3. Then, if combined...

....the Democrats are surging there?

[JohnnyRingo]

4. WHY?!

What have we become that half the people in any state sees Donald J Trump as the best person to lead the nation? It'd be like if the democrats put up Harvey Weinstein and voters flocked to him.

[FloridaBlues]

5. There was recent poll for Senate in Arizona showing Mark Kelly (D) beating the republican

Maybe there's hope for that state in 2020!