Democratic Primaries

Tarc

(10,476 posts) Mon Aug 26, 2019, 11:20 AM Aug 2019

Democratic field boils down to four-horse race

Democratic field boils down to four-horse race

The quest for the Democratic presidential nomination is becoming a four-horse race.

Marginal candidates at the bottom of the large field have begun to drop out — Rep. Seth Moulton (D-Mass.) became the latest to do so on Friday — and a deadline is looming this week to qualify for the third round of debates in Houston in September.

Meanwhile, at the head of the pack, only a major surprise would deliver the nomination to anyone outside the top quartet: former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.).

The winnowing is beginning.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

4 replies

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Democratic field boils down to four-horse race (Original Post) Tarc Aug 2019 OP

Pete, O'rourke or Booker could make that miracle outside run Cosmocat Aug 2019 #1

last 2 major polls on RCP, Pete and Harris are tied, so at least there's that, until the next polls Celerity Aug 2019 #2

At this point it looks more like a three horse race. Harris is polling well behind the other three. jalan48 Aug 2019 #3

Agreed. Although i'd put Buttigieg in there for now. It won't get really serious until after Iowa... brush Aug 2019 #4

Cosmocat

(14,564 posts)

1. Pete, O'rourke or Booker could make that miracle outside run

Reply to Tarc (Original post)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 11:34 AM

Aug 2019

But, yeah, Biden, Warren, Bernie and Kamala are the four contenders it appears.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Celerity

(43,344 posts)

2. last 2 major polls on RCP, Pete and Harris are tied, so at least there's that, until the next polls

Reply to Cosmocat (Reply #1)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 11:46 AM

Aug 2019

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

jalan48

(13,863 posts)

3. At this point it looks more like a three horse race. Harris is polling well behind the other three.

Reply to Celerity (Reply #2)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 11:55 AM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

brush

(53,776 posts)

4. Agreed. Although i'd put Buttigieg in there for now. It won't get really serious until after Iowa...

Reply to Tarc (Original post)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 12:23 PM

Aug 2019

and NH are over. South Carolina's primary and then Super Tuesday shortly after with California now added will tell the story. Biden should pick up a lot of delegates from the older AAs in those states.

Harris should do well also with AAs and delegates from her home state.

For Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg it'll be critical as they will have to draw POC votes to keep pace.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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