** NEW ** B+ Rated NEW HAMPSHIRE Poll - Biden 24%, Warren 21%, Sanders 13%, Buttigieg 11%, Harris 8%

[Skya Rhen]

In the “First in the Nation” New Hampshire Primary, the latest Emerson Poll finds the former VP Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren in a statistical dead-heat with 24% and 21% of the vote, respectively. Sen. Bernie Sanders, who was leading in the February poll with 27% of the vote is now in third at 13%. Mayor Pete Buttigieg is in fourth at 11% and Sen. Kamala Harris is in fifth with 8%. Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, who did not qualify for the second Democratic debate, is at 6% in the Granite state, Sen. Cory Booker is at 4%, Andrew Yang is at 3% along with former Congressman John Delaney, and 3% of voters are still undecided (Sept 6-9, 2019, n=483, +/-4.4%).

Snip...

In hypothetical head-to-head matchups, Trump trails all the Democratic candidates except Warren, where he is ahead at 51% to 49%. Outside of Biden’s 10 point lead, Andrew Yang performed second best with 54% of the vote. Spencer Kimball, director of Emerson Polling said “it is interesting to see Yang outperform his Democratic rivals against Trump. In this case, his lower name recognition may allow voters to idealize his candidacy.

http://emersonpolling.com/2019/09/10/sanders-slips-in-new-hampshire-biden-warren-take-lead/

[DrToast]

1. Of the 5, only Warren loses to Trump

When people express concerns about Warren’s electability, they’re not just making stuff up.

[Kahuna7]

2. No, they're not.

[Tiggeroshii]

3. Considering polls right now arepurely based on name recognition, and McCain was beating Obama by

double digits at this time in the 08 cycle ("Who's Obama?" ) , maybe we shouldn't be going off of what polls say.

[NurseJackie]

9. No he wasn't.

maybe we shouldn't be going off of what polls say.

That's what people say when their preferred candidate is behind... so... okay, whatever.

[Tiggeroshii]

15. 9/08: mccain up 10

Last edited Tue Sep 10, 2019, 02:58 PM - Edit history (1)

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/2008_09_05topline.html


Sorry I was a year off. The all knowing polls 3 months before the election still had mccain beating him by up to 10 points.

[BlueMississippi]

4. BS is toast if he can't win NH nt

[NurseJackie]

11. ...

[BeyondGeography]

5. Did EW bus supporters in for that poll?

[Tarheel_Dem]

8. Possibly not, but she appears to be the only one losing to Trump. n/t

[BeyondGeography]

10. IKR

We're better off with Yang.

[Tarheel_Dem]

14. Maybe.

[Skya Rhen]

12. With all the enthusiasm, clearly on Warren's side, and given the media's "but his gaffes" attacks,

I would expect Warren to be trouncing Biden, actually...

[BeyondGeography]

13. He's the frontrunner, nobody is trouncing him anywhere at this point

[DrFunkenstein]

17. Clinton Was Trouncing Obama Right Until the Night of Iowa

Going into Iowa, the polls had him trailing Clinton in every state apart from his own.

Remember Bill Clinton asked if the United States was ready to "roll the dice" on an Obama presidency?

[honest.abe]

6. Trump beating Warren is a significant issue.

Not sure what is going in there but that does not look good for her. NH could end up being a critical state if the vote is close.

[5starlib]

18. Even more troubling is that Warren is a next door neighbor

southern NH is in the Boston media market. They know Warren very well. Warren is not very popular in Mass either. It seems those who know her most, like her least.

[honest.abe]

19. Indeed that is odd she is doing so poorly in her backyard.

Not a good sign for Sen Warren.

[Tarheel_Dem]

7. This really is shaping up to be a two person race. That explains the escalating attacks. nt

[Cha]

16. KICK 4 Biden!