Poll: Biden and Sanders tied nationally, followed by Warren

[Hassin Bin Sober]

Poll: Biden and Sanders tied nationally, followed by Warren

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/471528-poll-biden-and-sanders-tied-nationally-followed-by-warren

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) are leading the Democratic presidential primary field in a new national poll, with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) following in third place.

The Emerson poll released Thursday found Biden and Sanders each with the support of 27 percent of Democratic primary voters, with Warren following at 20 percent support. No other candidate received double-digit support in the poll.

South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) was supported by 7 percent of registered voters in the poll, and entrepreneur Andrew Yang was supported by 4 percent.


Sanders's support increased by 2 percentage points since October in the poll, and Warren's support decreased by 1 percentage point, while Biden's remained steady.

“Biden and Sanders continue to hold their bases, which should concern Warren, as she has waited for one of the front runners to slip these past few months — yet, their support seems to be crystalizing,” Emerson Polling Director Spencer Kimball said in a statement.

[George II]

1. Basically the same results for that poll since September considering the MOA.

[Celerity]

2. Yang is now only one poll away from qualifying for December, same as Gabbard

[perspectives]

3. I would like to address the poll sample

My first post here, but reading about this poll, one should be aware of how the poll were conducted.

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/november-national-poll-support-for-impeachment-declines-biden-and-sanders-lead-democratic-primary

Data was collected using both an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only (n=713) and an online panel provided by Amazon Turk (n=379).

So only land line and online panel were used. Its common knowledge that Sanders is a very strong candidate among young people, those who mostly would answer an online panel.

And furthermore, using only land line and no mobile panel, the working-class Biden voters is not in this sample.

Remembering that the MoE is 2,9 and that subsets based on gender, age, party breakdown, ethnicity and region carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced.

So, in my humble conclusion, this poll is only made to make the race closer than it actually is.

[ritapria]

5. Bernie also does well with blue collar , working class voters

[marble falls]

7. Perceptive post, welcome to DU.

[littlemissmartypants]

10. Welcome to DU! nt

[zentrum]

4. Bernie...

.....gets better with every debate

[Uncle Joe]

6. Kicked and recommended.

Thanks for the thread Hassin Bin Sober.

[Calof]

8. Outlier

Other polls show this.

[TwilightZone]

9. Emerson has been an outlier for months.

It's unlikely that all of the other polls are 7-15% off on Sanders. No one else has had him higher than 20% in months.