SurveyUSA's summary of the race post-November debate. It pretty well sums it up to now...

[UncleNoel]

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25016
Data Collected: 11/20/2019 - 11/21/2019
Release Date: 11/26/2019

Neither Burisma Nor Bloopers Nor Unexpected Grand-Baby Can Take Bloom off Biden Rose for Democrats Desperate to Defeat Donald[Trump;
While Warren & Sanders Do-Si-Do for 2nd Place Nationally, Buttigieg Leaps into 4th, Doubling His Support In a Month; Then Came Bloomberg ...

10 weeks to the Iowa Caucuses, likely Democratic primary voters nationwide can't quit Joe Biden, according to SurveyUSA's newest tracking poll, conducted immediately after the 11/20/19 Democratic Candidate Debate in Atlanta. Though Biden's children and now suddenly a grandchild are in the news for all the wrong reasons, though Biden continues to demonstrate to all who pay attention that he struggles to express himself, though he inadvertently steps on the toes of his core constituents, and though Republicans see him as a punching bag, Biden's poll numbers are inert.

In 4 consecutive SurveyUSA tracking polls, Biden has never polled higher than 33%, never polled lower than 32%. Though some see the former Vice President's pants on fire, likely Democratic Primary voters stick with the devil they know. Biden has led in every SurveyUSA nationwide poll, never by less than 10 points, today by 15 points.

Given the chance to choose any of the Democrats still in the race, but before Michael Bloomberg is added to the mix, likely primary voters today appear to have second thoughts about Elizabeth Warren, who drops 6 points from October to November and now polls at 16%, one statistically-insignificant point behind Bernie Sanders, who today, for the 3rd consecutive month, polls at 17%.

Pete Buttigieg had been at 5% in both September and October, but today, as Americans set their Thanksgiving tables, Buttigieg leaps to 12% nationwide, materially ahead of the rest of the pack, 4 points behind Warren and 7 points ahead of Kamala Harris who, despite a strong performance in Atlanta, today finishes 5th.

Combined, Harris and Cory Booker, the other black Democrat on the debate stage, have the support of 12% of African American Democratic primary voters. By contrast, Biden is today backed by 53% of African American Democratic primary voters. Biden was backed by 35% of black Democrats in August, 42% of black Democrats in September, and now 53% of black Democrats in November. 1% of black voters back Buttigieg.

Among white middle-class Democrats, Buttigieg's support doubles month-on month, vaulting Mayor Pete past Warren and past Sanders and landing in Biden's rear-view mirror.

[JustABozoOnThisBus]

1. Is there any impact from a Bloomberg campaign?

It seems that he would draw voters from Joe and Pete (and Amy, if she's still in it).

[UncleNoel]

3. They had an extended list that included Bloomberh. The one you have seen posted.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=1a56d146-5d59-4e5f-a9fa-78219f1ff42f.

Question No. 4. Likely Democratic Voters without Bloomberg (SUSA’s first democratic nominee question). :

Question 6 puts Bloomberg in the mix for 30, 17, 15, 12, 1 with a loss of 2 for Biden Sanders not affected, a gain of 1 each for Warren and Buttigieg. While these are the poll numbers usually cited, in their analysis SUSA chooses to use the former. Since Bloomberg officially announced on he 24th his effect on the polls will be measured subsequently.

[paleotn]

7. So far he's drawing very thin support.

I think a lot of voters are beginning to crystallize in who they're supporting, so barring anything earth shattering, he's in way too late.

[Sloumeau]

2. UncleNoel, thanks for this posting!

This is great news for Joe Biden.

[UncleNoel]

4. You're welcome!

He is durable, dependable, stable, and knows how to get things done.

[Tarheel_Dem]

5. From 35% to 53% AA support since August? Sounds like his non-white support is rising...

even as he drops a bit among white voters. I still think that in the end, people will vote based on electability and a return to normalcy.

[UncleNoel]

6. The link also has a graph showing Joe's dip and Warren's and Buttigieg's rise among them.

I agree with you that this will change over time and those who now choose the others will fall in behind Joe.

[UncleNoel]

8. I like the sound of "You can't take the bloom off the biden rose"!

Good retort for the Biden is fading meme.

[Cha]

10. And, they're tying so hard!

[Demsrule86]

9. Thanks UncleNoel K&R

[Gothmog]

11. These facts make me smile

Link to tweet

[Scurrilous]

12. K&R