*NEW* Monmouth University (A+ Rated) Poll - N.H.: Buttigieg 20%, Biden 19%, Sanders 18%, Warren 15%

[Skya Rhen]

Jan 3-7

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_nh_010920.pdf/

[Sloumeau]

1. Skya Rhen, thanks for the posting! :)

This shows good positioning for Joe Biden!

[still_one]

3. That the so-called soothsayers were saying Biden wouldn't do well in Iowa or NH, it looks like

their analysis is wrong again

[still_one]

2. It is looking more and more that Iowa and NH will

have no definite leader. Super Tuesday hopefully will decide our nominee

[Algernon Moncrieff]

4. The M.O.E. is 4.9%

So any of those top 4 could emerge on a given day.

[ritapria]

5. 68% of Monmouth's weighted sample was aged 50 and older

35% of Monmouth's weighted NH Primary sample was aged 65 and over …… In 2016 , voters aged 65 and over were just 18% of the NH Dem Primary vote … Monmouth oversampled Older voters and Bernie still gained 6% from their September Survey … .

[LeftTurn3623]

7. Bernie does so well with younger voters

hopefully they come out to vote

[TwilightZone]

13. Polling organizations routinely adjust for demographics.

I doubt that they're unaware of prior results, demographics, and/or voter trends.

[bluewater]

6. Hmm. Yang and Steyer didn't get 5%

Was this a state-wide qualifying poll for next week's debate?

If it is, I believe candidates need to get at least 5% now as the DNC rules have been tightened.

[judeling]

12. Yes 5% in 4 early state or National polls or 7% in two early state polls.

If only the Des Moines poll comes out tomorrow only the five we know will make the debate stage.
Yang has 1 national poll and Steyer has 2 Early state polls.

[LeftTurn3623]

8. You can do this Pete!

[boomer_wv]

9. Also released

Number with smaller fields.

What should concern Bernie fans is that he sidnt grow any support when going from a 7ish candidate field down to a 4. Everyone else grew but he did not.

As the field thinned, Biden took the lead, fyi.

[comradebillyboy]

10. Bernie surges into 3rd place in NH!

[Fiendish Thingy]

11. MOE +/- 4.9%

So, the top 4 are statistically tied.