So now that Bernie is the front runner to win Iowa, does that mean Iowa isn't as important?

[brutus smith]

[Cuthbert Allgood]

7. Couple things:

1. Don't think that level of thing is happening.
2. Have you seriously not seen the "he's not a real Dem," "He has no chance he should drop out," "this is done and Biden is going to win" stuff that goes on here every day? Perhaps start with calming that down and then people won't react in a way that punches back at those that have been kind of crappy.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

14. You forgot one: "He should never have ran."

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join the revolution!!

[brutus smith]

8. I haven't seen that on here. If anything, it's the other way around.

[TidalWave46]

2. It is about this important.

https://www.google.com/search?q=brutus+smith+iowa&sitesearch=democraticunderground.com

[pwb]

3. Not sure what you are looking for here?

NO????

[ehrnst]

4. Actually...

CONWAY, New Hampshire — One month out from the “first-in-the-nation” primary, less than one-third of New Hampshire registered voters have “definitely” made up their mind. In Iowa, with 23 days and counting until the caucuses, about the same share of voters has decided for sure, according to a recent CBS/YouGov poll of the two early states.

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/1/11/21057416/iowa-and-new-hampshire-voters-undecided-2020-election

[Sloumeau]

5. His tiny lead in a single poll is of course, super important. :)

[LongtimeAZDem]

6. It's important to Bernie, because he needs it to stay relevant

[brutus smith]

9. Doesn't everyone have to stay relevant?

[LongtimeAZDem]

11. Sure, but someone like Biden, who has a clear advantage in other states, doesn't need it as much

If Sanders can decisively win Iowa and NH, he can keep his momentum going, but if it's just a 3 or 4 way split, it really doesn't cut into Biden's advantage.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

13. You misspelled "Biden."

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join the revolution!!

[ritapria]

10. Bernie is drawing large crowds in Iowa- while kids are on College Break

Hundreds of Organizing Events across the State on tap .. 500,000 doors to be knocked by the end of January … The most Volunteers ..By far , the leader in grass roots enthusiasm ...More Commits to Caucus for Bernie in Iowa than was the case in 2016 ………..Bernie got over 80,000 first round votes in 2016 ………..So organized they have a team dedicated to bringing out the Bosnian Muslim community in Iowa ….No stone unturned … Whether they are good or bad . Ignore the Polls ... The campaign is focused on expanding the electorate in Iowa , not bringing in " Likely Voters"

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

12. That's a rhetorical question, right? (So is that one!)

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join the revolution!!

[George II]

15. He's the "front runner" in one poll, and in a 3-way tie in another....

He trails in all other Iowa poll. What we'll probably find is that the top four candidates will wind up splitting the delegates pretty evenly in those two states.

Using RealClear averages, the four candidates will be 2 delegates apart - Buttigieg and Sanders will have 11 each, Biden and Warren will have 9 each. Certainly not a definitive result. Similarly in NH - Sanders will have 7, Biden and Buttigieg 6 each, and Warren 5.

I think the consensus here is that both Iowa and NH are only "important" because they're the first two. Neither is very representative of the American public as a whole, and their combined 65 delegates are only about 1% of all delegates up for grabs.

[ehrnst]

16. IKR?

[SidDithers]

17. Iowa's importance is way over represented. It's a creation of the media...

It's an undemocratic caucus in an homogeneously white state.

Do you think that's representative of today's Democratic Party?

Sid

[SidDithers]

18. Kick...nt

Sid

[Chemisse]

20. I don't support Bernie, but I think a win in Iowa would be a big deal, especially if he won NH too.

They are not the most representative states - obviously - but it makes people sit up and take notice that this is a possibility at this moment. A candidate who takes those first two states gets a second look and added respect.