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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
Mon Jan 13, 2020, 06:28 PM Jan 2020

Polling data in early states as of late this afternoon (January 13):

RealClear Politics averages:

Iowa:

Biden 20.7
Warren 16.0
Buttigieg 18.7
Sanders 20.3

Biden UP by 0.4

New Hampshire

Biden 23.3
Warren 17.0
Buttigieg 13.3
Sanders 22.3

Biden UP by 1.0

Nevada

Biden 28.3
Warren 17.3
Buttigieg 7.3
Sanders 19.7

Biden UP by 8.7

South Carolina

Biden 32.0
Warren 14.0
Buttigieg 6.3
Sanders 15.0

Biden UP by 17.0

FiveThirtyEight averages:

Iowa:

Biden 20.0
Warren 15.1
Buttigieg 17.7
Sanders 19.9

Biden UP by 0.1

New Hampshire

Biden 21.1
Warren 16.0
Buttigieg 13.4
Sanders 20.0

Biden UP by 1.0

Nevada

Biden 24.5
Warren 15.1
Buttigieg 6.5
Sanders 18.9

Biden UP by 8.7

South Carolina

Biden 35.7
Warren 11.3
Buttigieg 4.7
Sanders 14.2
Steyer 10.0

Biden UP by 21.5

Biden leads in ALL four states according to both sources, RealClear Politics and FiveThirtyEight

(disclaimer: check me for typos, please)
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Polling data in early states as of late this afternoon (January 13): (Original Post) George II Jan 2020 OP
Thanks George! Cha Jan 2020 #1
I don't trust polls george JustAnotherGen Jan 2020 #2
Well, Joe Biden currently has the best chance of anyone winning the nomination, Sloumeau Jan 2020 #6
Democrats respect the data. Thank you for reminding us of what is and is not factual. ehrnst Jan 2020 #3
I like those odds!! LakeArenal Jan 2020 #4
And it only gets better for Joe following IA & NH Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #5
Why is this list not ranked by %, seems very odd. Agschmid Jan 2020 #7
 

JustAnotherGen

(31,828 posts)
2. I don't trust polls george
Mon Jan 13, 2020, 06:41 PM
Jan 2020

I think you know that. But if these are right - Anyone can win in NH and Iowa.

Then things start breaking open. I've got a feeling about some of the minority groups (of which I'm one) rebelling against Iowa and NH. Turn on Urban View - and you'll hear -

Why do they get to go first? They don't reflect us at all.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Sloumeau

(2,657 posts)
6. Well, Joe Biden currently has the best chance of anyone winning the nomination,
Mon Jan 13, 2020, 07:15 PM
Jan 2020

and you may be glad to know that Joe Biden has had a lot of experience working with various minority groups. He had six terms in Delaware, and as of 2014, this was the racial makeup of Delaware:

........Total Minority %.....White %.....Latino %.....A. American %.....Asian %
........36.3 %.................63.7%........8.9%..........21.2%....................3.7%

Link:

[link:https://www.governing.com/topics/urban/gov-majority-minority-populations-in-states.html|]

Joe Biden has had tons of experience working with various minority groups, which is why his support among African Americans is about double his closest competitor's. Joe Biden knows that he cannot get to the White House without lots of minority support, just like he could not have remained Senator for six terms without support from the 36.3% of minority voters in Delaware. I believe that he will not let minority groups down.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
3. Democrats respect the data. Thank you for reminding us of what is and is not factual.
Mon Jan 13, 2020, 06:41 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Thekaspervote

(32,778 posts)
5. And it only gets better for Joe following IA & NH
Mon Jan 13, 2020, 06:44 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
7. Why is this list not ranked by %, seems very odd.
Mon Jan 13, 2020, 07:18 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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