Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumEconomist/YouGov Feb. 2-4 NATIONAL poll: Biden 24%, Sanders 19%, Warren 18%,
Buttigieg & Bloomberg 9%, Klobuchar 6%
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/73jqd6u5mv/econTabReport.pdf
Biden with 43% of the black vote to only 8% for Sanders (14% for Warren, 12% for Bloomberg).
Sanders has a lead with the Hispanic vote, but a much narrower lead, 28% to 23% for Biden (both of them well ahead of the rest of the field).
When they asked respondents the "disappointed if Democratic nominee" question, Sanders was second only to Tulsi Gabbard. 46% would be disappointed if she was the nominee. 28% would be disappointed in Sanders was. (Biden at 21%, Warren at 20%.)
The poll respondents thought Sanders was most likely to win the NH primary (24% to 17% for Biden).
They also thought Biden's most likely to win the nomination, 30% to 15% for Sanders.
64% of Dems think Biden can probably beat Trump.
51% of Dems think Sanders can probably beat him.
47% believe that of Warren and 35% of Buttigieg.
Editing to add that more Democrats said the Iowa results wouldn't be important to them than said the results would be important.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Pololv
(32 posts)Have to look at how they're doing at each state level...
And I'm a STRONG Joe supporter...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,034 posts)are hyping two VERY unrepresentative states.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,655 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)campaign morale heading into the next very important states. I am looking for Biden to win in Swing states and the south, picking up the most delegates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,034 posts)See the edited OP in a couple of minutes.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TexasTowelie
(112,422 posts)coming from the betting market and it gets reflected onto sites like 538. The thing is that the betting markets use odds based upon the amount of money being bet rather than counting actual votes. Therefore, the betting markets can be easily manipulated by those willing to dump some of their money to promote their candidates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
squirecam
(2,706 posts)Lets see state by state polls
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
squirecam
(2,706 posts)Nt
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to highplainsdem (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
femmedem
(8,207 posts)for almost all of our candidates--all except Yang, I think, based on a quick skim--their unfavorables were higher than their favorable.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,034 posts)view of our candidates as threats to Trump.
Check the numbers given by Democrats responding to the poll.
As for Yang -- not only is he relatively unknown, but it's unlikely any of the Republican respondents see him as a threat to Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
femmedem
(8,207 posts)I remember being similarly alarmed by Clinton's favorable vs. unfavorable in 2016. None of our candidates have unfavorable ratings as high as Trumps, but when you eliminate the people with no opinion, the ratio isn't comforting.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden