Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumI haven't decided for whom I will be voting but I've decided how I will decide.
My rule from the beginning has been which candidate has the best chance to beat Trump. The results so far have not answered my question of which candidate fits that bill.
Since I have to vote no later than Tuesday, I've decided to wait until after the South Carolina primary this weekend. Whichever candidate does best with the AA vote in South Carolina gets my vote.
If we are to beat Trump, AA Democrats must turnout in force. At this point, the only metric I have is how the candidates do with AA voters in South Carolina. I'm waiting for Steve Kornacki to give me the breakdown.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
onecaliberal
(32,976 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TomSlick
(11,126 posts)However, right or wrong, I'm running out of time and that's the best metric I have found.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
mr_lebowski
(33,643 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TomSlick
(11,126 posts)I'm unclear what it meant by "Meta" and Google is of little help. (It may be a generational thing.) However, on the whole you seem to accept the soundness of my plan - so thank you.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Jamastiene
(38,187 posts)Anyone, regardless of political party can vote in the Democratic primary elections there.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TomSlick
(11,126 posts)I'm not basing my decision on who wins the South Carolina primary but who does best with the South Carolina AA vote. If all of the AA South Carolina Republicans vote in the Democratic primary, it will not be a statistically significant number.
Steve Kornacki will be able to tell us how the AA vote broke before NBC calls the total vote. With that information, I'll be able to make my decision.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to TomSlick (Original post)
TomSlick This message was self-deleted by its author.
Sugarcoated
(7,736 posts)to winning my state. The AA vote in Philly and Pittsburgh has to be big, urban vote must be high to overcome the rural vote. I imagine this is true for MI and WI
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
captain queeg
(10,281 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sugarcoated
(7,736 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TomSlick
(11,126 posts)Once again, proving what happens when we assume.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
captain queeg
(10,281 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MoonlitKnight
(1,584 posts)All of those AA voters are voting based upon their guess of who white voters prefer?
Quit trying to game it out and just vote for the candidate you agree with, like best or feel has the most experience. Kind of like how you would hire someone for an important job.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TomSlick
(11,126 posts)I don't see AA voters looking for permission from white voters on for whom they can vote.
The most important issue in this election is beating Trump. I cannot ignore which candidate stands the best chance of winning. The general election will turn on AA turn-out.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to TomSlick (Original post)
Jakes Progress This message was self-deleted by its author.
Jakes Progress
(11,123 posts)is that the SC primary will take place without Obama speaking up. I think African American reticence to vote for one candidate or another will be replaced by enthusiasm once Barack weighs in. I could be wrong - I often am in these issues - and am willing to hear from someone with better bona fides about this.
I know why Obama hasn't had a say yet, but in this case, in this year, I think we would have been better served had he helped to stop the Democratic hemorrhaging that has been our primary.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
TomSlick
(11,126 posts)Unless President Obama speaks this weekend, it will be too late - not just for me but for about a third of Democrats.
I have to gauge AA support on something. SC is all I've got.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Jakes Progress
(11,123 posts)My point was that the vote from SC won't tell us that much about eventual AA support. It will be Obama's job to generate turn-out. I think there are a couple of candidates that even Obama couldn't sell, but most would get the AA vote if they have Obama's endorsement.
With me, it's a matter of do I Vote Warren, who I believe is the most qualified candidate and whose policies I agree with. Or do I switch to Biden to keep Bernie from piling up the points. I would love all of Bernie's polices to be enacted, but I firmly believe that his heading the ticket in November will result in us losing not just the presidency, but also the house.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
TomSlick
(11,126 posts)I think Warren would be more effective as President and I like her "plans" too.
The point is that if Trump is re-elected the Republic dies. Nothing else matters. I would vote for a three-legged yellow dog in the primary if I thought it had the best chance to beat Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Jakes Progress
(11,123 posts)by a mile. The fact that this isn't so makes me very sad for the level of honesty, morality, honor, and intelligence of the population. Those people really bring down the averages of all of those things for America.
People keep saying how close the election was. It shouldn't have been even close to close.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
TomSlick
(11,126 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LAS14
(13,790 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TomSlick
(11,126 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden