California delegate wave didn't quite break as expected

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

LOS ANGELES (AP) — While Sen. Bernie Sanders mined the motherlode of delegates from California on Super Tuesday, it wasn’t nearly enough and isn’t getting counted fast enough to counter former Vice President Joe Biden’s huge night.

It became an issue of numbers and timing.

After years of being a late season player in presidential primary politics, California joined the Super Tuesday crowd, and its 415 delegates were the biggest haul on the biggest night.

But even though Sanders’ victory in California was declared quickly, it came after a series of surprising wins for Biden that dominated the earlier coverage of the primaries. And Sanders' precise delegate margin in the state won’t be known any time soon. California, with lots of early and mail-in voting, typically takes weeks to finish counting ballots. Experts expect millions are left to count.

-more-

https://news.yahoo.com/california-delegate-wave-didnt-quite-231440548.html

[TwilightZone]

1. I still don't get the early call. They're only at 56% of expected *now*

Calling the race last night was a serious leap of faith considering that we're not much over 50% 24 hours later.

Do they know something we don't?

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-california-primary-election-results/story?id=68409563

[Indykatie]

2. Most Of the Other States Were Also Called Early Based on Exit Interview Data n/t

[TwilightZone]

3. Not sure how that would work if 70% of the total vote is mail-in.

In 2018, it was 68%.

Not sure I'd make a call with exit poll data on 30% of the total, but I guess many media outlets did.

https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/historical-absentee/

[efhmc]

4. What is the total delegate count for Cal. and is it a winner take all state?

Having trouble getting a straight answer on line about this.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

5. No Democratic primary allows winner take all as far as I know.

Republicans do however and that's how Trump got the nomination.

[efhmc]

7. I know that is true in Texas but did not know about other states.

Last edited Thu Mar 5, 2020, 10:28 AM - Edit history (1)

Thank you.

[Codeine]

6. No. We have statewide delegates

awarded based on state-wide performance, and then we have delegates apportioned to each congressional district that are awarded based on performance in each individual district. Candidates under 15% (in each CD or statewide, respectively) receive no delegates.

Total delegates 416.

[Cha]

8. KR

[honest.abe]

9. Wow.. there are millions of ballots yet to be counted.

Biden could theoretically close the gap once all the votes are tabulated. The late deciders and last minute mail-ins no doubt would have broke for Biden given what we saw in other states. It’s going to be very interesting to see how this plays out.