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Democratic Primaries
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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
Politico: Sanders and Trump Stare into Their Graves (because of Biden coalition)
It's not MY headline. It's Politico's. I don't like it, but I'm using it in the subject line so anyone else considering posting about this story will realize it's already been posted here.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/03/04/sanders-trump-altitude-121523
This is an observation, let us quickly emphasize, not a prediction. Just because a grave is dug doesnt mean either man will inevitably be forced to lie in it. A week ago, there was a similar hole with Bidens name on it.
-snip-
Biden summoned high turnout from precisely the diverse constituencies of African Americans, suburbanites, working-class and older voters that another aging pol more at home with coalition politics than movement politicsHouse Speaker Nancy Pelosimarshalled to retake the House in 2018.
In the near term, Bidens achievement indicated that Sanders has no convincing path to defeating this coalition with young people or previous nonvoters. The only formula for his revival would involve Sanders somehow managing to encroach on support Biden won so handily from these groups. If not, its shovel time, no matter how long the nomination contest slogs on (which likely will be quite a while).
For the general election, the implications of Tuesday are equally urgent for Trump. Voter turnout in the primaries was up from 2016 in almost every statein Virginia, for instance, turnout increased by more than two-thirds. The overwhelming evidence is that it is Trump, not any Democrat, who is stimulating this surge. Increased energy on the Democratic side, in the likely event this holds through the fall, means Trump must also stimulate new voters or it is shovel time for him, too.
-snip-
-snip-
Biden summoned high turnout from precisely the diverse constituencies of African Americans, suburbanites, working-class and older voters that another aging pol more at home with coalition politics than movement politicsHouse Speaker Nancy Pelosimarshalled to retake the House in 2018.
In the near term, Bidens achievement indicated that Sanders has no convincing path to defeating this coalition with young people or previous nonvoters. The only formula for his revival would involve Sanders somehow managing to encroach on support Biden won so handily from these groups. If not, its shovel time, no matter how long the nomination contest slogs on (which likely will be quite a while).
For the general election, the implications of Tuesday are equally urgent for Trump. Voter turnout in the primaries was up from 2016 in almost every statein Virginia, for instance, turnout increased by more than two-thirds. The overwhelming evidence is that it is Trump, not any Democrat, who is stimulating this surge. Increased energy on the Democratic side, in the likely event this holds through the fall, means Trump must also stimulate new voters or it is shovel time for him, too.
-snip-
Much more at the link.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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Politico: Sanders and Trump Stare into Their Graves (because of Biden coalition) (Original Post)
highplainsdem
Mar 2020
OP
Rorey
(8,445 posts)1. I can't even imagine that Orangeface will be able to stimulate new voters
I really think his ass is going to be royally kicked in November. And then, hopefully, it can get kicked right into prison.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(48,975 posts)2. +1,000,000
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,565 posts)3. This is a good article...don't know how I missed it...K&R.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
el_bryanto
(11,804 posts)4. Don't worry- there are plenty of Biden supporters who will love it. nt
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided