Next round of primaries favors Biden

[RandySF]

LOOKING AHEAD: After a momentous showing on South Carolina, the Democratic primary map moving forward is looking more and more favorable for former Vice President Joe Biden. The next states up are Idaho, North Dakota, Mississippi, Missouri and Washington, as well as Michigan, which will be the biggest prize of the night. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) unexpectedly won the Great Lakes State in the 2016 Democratic primary, narrowly beating Hillary Clinton by roughly one point. However, it looks like the state will be more difficult for Sanders to win four years later. A new Detroit News/WDIV-TV poll released Tuesday showed Biden leading Sanders with 29 percent support from likely Democratic primary voters. The progressive senator trailed with 22.5 percent support. Both candidates are paying close attention to the state. Sanders cancelled a rally in Mississippi, which will likely be friendlier ground for Biden, to campaign in Michigan. Biden has also had a large presence in the state and is set to visit Grand Rapids on Monday. Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D), who endorsed Biden after dropping out of the race last week, will stump for Biden in the state this weekend.

Meanwhile, the states following next week's contests are also on the candidates' radar. Voters in Florida, Arizona, Ohio and Illinois will head to the polls on March 17. Florida will be the biggest prize that night with 219 delegates up for grabs. Polls are predicting Biden will have a blowout performance in the Sunshine State. A survey from St. Pete Polls found Biden at 61 percent support in Florida, while Sanders trailed far behind at 12 percent. Sanders will face an uphill climb in the state for a number of reasons, maybe most notably for his recent comments praising Fidel Castro's communist government in Cuba for improving literacy in the island nation. He will also likely struggle with the state's suburban population, which may not be crazy about Trump, but is extremely weary of Sanders's far-left stances.



https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/486361-the-hills-campaign-report-next-round-of-primaries-favors-biden

[Cha]

1. Steady On.. GO JOE!

[George II]

2. Up next:

Idaho Primary Open 10-Mar 20
Michigan Primary Open 10-Mar 125
Mississippi Primary Open 10-Mar 36
Missouri Primary Open 10-Mar 68
N Dakota Caucus Open 10-Mar 14
Wash Primary Open 10-Mar 89

Sanders can have Idaho. Biden will win Michigan by 5-10% and Mississippi by a huge amount. Biden will win Missouri by more than 10%. Sanders can have North Dakota. Washington will be a nailbiter.

I predict that of the 352 delegates, Biden will get 190-200 and Sanders will get 150-160.

From there on, Biden will have the advantage in most of the remaining states, and ALL of the big ones (PA, NY, NJ, FL, IL, GA, OH)