This morning's California primary update: Bernie's margin is down from 8.7% to 7.3%

[onenote]

There are still many many votes yet to be counted and reported, but so far, Bernie's share of the vote has increased by .1 percent (from 33.6% to 33.7%) , while Biden's has increased by 1.5 percent (from 24.9 to 26.4).

Further narrowing would not be surprising.

[beachbumbob]

1. still over 2 million votes left to count as well?

[NurseJackie]

2. Wow. Wow! He needed a BLOWOUT in California (not just an expected "win")

Wow. Wow! He needed a BLOWOUT in California (not just an expected "win'').

Moving California to Super-Tuesday certainly has had an effect on how things will be perceived going forward. There are no more BIG PRIZE states that could make-or-break or have any serious consequences on the inevitable outcome.

In spite of the "win" in California, this is still a completely HUMILIATING outcome for Bernie.

[getagrip_already]

7. that was certainly an unintended consequence.....

One of bernies battle cries in 2016 was that he was going to stay in through california because he would sweep the state and have enough delegates to contest the nomination.

He did stay in, and he didn't sweep the state and did not not have enough delegates to force a second vote.

That excuse is gone.

While I believe every state should be counted, in reality the outcome will be clear long before the last states vote. Of course, if they all fell 100% to bernie, it could change things. Just like the law of entropy, which says it's possible for every molecule in an object to move in the same direction at the same time, it just never happens.

My coffee cup just isn't going to jump into the air just because it's possible (although my beer bottles have moved sideways without help).

[whistler162]

8. Looks like he got a slow leak instead...

[onetexan]

9. in deed, and Humiliating for Bernie translates to GRUMPIER

in 2016 he was a grumpy old uncle. Now he's a GRUMPIER old uncle.

[NCProgressive]

3. Not surprising

The votes left to be counted are all late main-in ballots (send in the last 2 days and on the day of election)

Those votes are breaking heavily for Biden.

[still_one]

4. and Joe Biden would have won California if not for Bloomberg

[Bleacher Creature]

5. Sounds like CA came down with a classic case of Joe-mentum.

[MineralMan]

6. The bottom line of all that is that California's delegates will be split

fairly equally in the end, if this trend continues. Bernie Sanders was counting on a big win there, perhaps even with Biden getting almost no delegates at all. That did not happen. So, Sanders big chance to score in the state with the most delegates didn't occur.

He'll still get more delegates there than Biden, but not that many more, really. Biden will retain a delegate lead going into next Tuesday's primaries. Biden's lead will increase after Tuesday, and it will continue to increase as primaries are held.

This news from California has to be depressing to the Sanders camp.

[NurseJackie]

11. Not many "big ticket" states remaining... and Florida is looking pretty BLEAK for Bernie.

Not many "big ticket" states remaining... and Florida is looking pretty BLEAK for Bernie. Based on current polling in Florida, it's possible that he may not even be viable. He could walk away with ZERO delegates if things continue to go in the same direction.

I'm sure that Bernie is fully aware that he has FAILED at this, his LAST shot, at being President. I expect that Jane is relieved and looking forward to returning to their cozy lakefront home in Vermont.

[MineralMan]

13. Well, New York is still coming, too.

But, Florida is huge for this primary cycle.

[NurseJackie]

15. Yes... that's one of the Big Ticket states. How do you think Bernie will do there?

He needs a blowout there as well. That's the only way he can catch up. Can he do it?

[NYMinute]

10. There are still some 1 million votes that remain to be counted

They are all late mail-in ballots or hand-delivered mail-in ballots on the day of the election.

Biden is winning >2/3d of them.

The eventual margin will be <4 or 5%

[NurseJackie]

12. When is a win not a win? When it's only 5% and he was expecting to take it all!

This is a big LOSS for Bernie.

[NYMinute]

16. Especially when you add Buttigieg's 6.7% and Bloomberg's 15.7% to Biden

Bernie actually LOST California.

[NurseJackie]

17. Bernie has a "ceiling" ... and he's reached it.

The voters are speaking loudly. The message is "we don't want Bernie" and "we like Joe".

[MineralMan]

14. Before South Carolina and the two dropouts,

people were wondering if Biden would even be viable in CA. So much for that.

[NYMinute]

18. Cenk Uygur was beating his chest after Nevada

saying Sanders will be declared the nominee on Super Tuesday.

That was as effective as Lucy Flores' #meone moment.

[MineralMan]

19. So, how did Cenk do in his own primary in California?

Not so well, I heard...

[NYMinute]

20. He got 5% of the vote

The good news is that he did better than Papadopoulos who only got 328 votes.

[MineralMan]

21. Hmm...looks like he needs to keep his day job, I guess.

[NYMinute]

22. What day job?

[MineralMan]

23. Oh, snap!

[tandem5]

24. I didn't think it possible, but there's actually a non zero chance that

Biden might take California.

[Cha]

25. Kick