Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumSanders voters helped Trump win the White House. Could they do it again?
Joe Biden isn't the only presidential candidate whose allies believe the votes of Bernie Sanders' most dedicated supporters could hold the key to his November success. President Donald Trump and his supporters believe the same.
In 2016, about 216,000 Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin voters backed the Vermont senator in the spring and Trump in the fall, according to an analysis of exit polling well over twice the president's total margin of victory in those states, which were critical to his electoral vote win in the face of a decisive popular vote loss.
If Sanders ultimately falls short again this time around, Trump's allies hope history repeats itself with the senator's most disaffected supporters but they won't be leaving that prospect to chance, with a targeted effort underway by groups who support Trumps re-election to identify and target those voters.
Sanders voters in 2020 have indicated they are less likely than other voters to back the Democratic nominee should their candidate not win the nomination. In an NBC News exit poll taken on Super Tuesday, 15 percent of Sanders voters said they weren't committed to voting for the Democratic nominee, regardless of who it was, compared to 10 percent of Biden voters who said the same.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/sanders-voters-helped-trump-win-white-house-could-they-do-n1145306
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
walkingman
(7,612 posts)Things change quickly! I'm hoping whoever the candidate is defeats Trump resoundingly. Hard for me to imagine anyone voting for him.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SiliconValley_Dem
(1,656 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Ron Green
(9,822 posts)but to reject the economic policies of the past 40 years that have brought the stranglehold to so many people.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SunSeeker
(51,551 posts)And I want to bring back the economic policies of the Obama administration that saved our economy, raised wages, and established the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to protect us from predatory lenders. I think the majority of Americans do.
Bernie offering democratic socialism is not going to bring out the vote for him (it didn't in these primaries) but it will certainly fire up moderates and conservatives to come out and vote for Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SunSeeker
(51,551 posts)So much so that Trump is sending encouraging tweets to Bernie to keep fighting and Putin has unleashed his troll army, as Bernie has acknowledged, to bash Biden and his supporters?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)is a nomination fight taken to the convention. That's the scenario that the Republicans would like the most.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SunSeeker
(51,551 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)Trump knows Sanders won't be the nominee. Again the point of pushing Sanders at all would be to have a nomination fight at the convention.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SunSeeker
(51,551 posts)And the GOP instituted Operation Chaos to get Republicans to vote for Sanders in the Dem primary.
It certainly looks like Sanders won't be the nominee now, but 2 weeks ago it looked like he would.
And Putin's trolls aren't letting up.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)Don't let Trump troll you.
Remember when "operation chaos" told people to vote for Hillary Clinton against Obama?
Again that was to force the nomination to go to a fight at the convention which is what weakens the Democratic nominee most.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
SunSeeker
(51,551 posts)If Bernie never had a chance, why is he running to weaken our nominee? Sounds like you're saying Bernie is not one of those "with a clue."
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Rush_Limbaugh_Show :
At the point in which Limbaugh announced his gambit, Obama had seemed on the verge of clinching the Democratic nomination. However, Clinton subsequently won the Ohio primary and the Texas primary (while losing the Texas caucus and the overall delegate split) with large pluralities from rural counties; thus reemerging as a competitive opponent in the race.
On April 29, 2008 Limbaugh declared an "operational pause" in Operation Chaos, saying that Obama's defeat in the 2008 Pennsylvania primary and fallout from statements from Obama ally Reverend Jeremiah Wright could have damaged his campaign to the extent superdelegates would shift to Clinton's side. Determining Obama had weathered that storm, Limbaugh lifted the pause the next day and renewed his call for his listeners to vote for Clinton in the upcoming Indiana and North Carolina primaries. Obama won the North Carolina primary but was narrowly defeated in Indiana, where Clinton won decisively in rural counties that normally vote Republican in presidential elections.
And yes, I would have have to say that Sanders is greatly overestimating his chance of winning the nomination.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
jcgoldie
(11,631 posts)Trump is completely stupid.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
vercetti2021
(10,156 posts)Joe's likability is higher than Hillary's was. Not dissing her or anything but years and years of GOP hate machine making her a boogeyman rotted independent brains. Add that people want Trump at really bad and the primary voter percentage is higher.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to SunSeeker (Original post)
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Cha
(297,206 posts)Let's Hope Not!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sunlei
(22,651 posts)perhaps this 25% of primary voters recently supported the dropped candidates. A couple of them did drop out all of a sudden with no word to their supporters.
My concern is the numbers of total voters who turned out for the primary, especially those who voted early. Rs had a huge primary turnout, Ds better vote in the general election.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
betsuni
(25,519 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden