This is what should happen tomorrow

[RDavisJ1]

After sitting down with the math, this is what tomorrow should look like. Biden will get MS, MO, ID (don't start screaming yet). Bernie will get ND. So what about MI and WA? 2016 polling got it very wrong and Bernie ended up winning. Right now Biden is heavily favored in MI with a 55 to 32 lead. Sanders MUST win this state, even if it's 1%. What could happen? We could see a Michigan surprise with a Bernie flip. (This is where you get out your candles and light them Bernie followers). However, I don't think this will be a 2016 and here's why.

There was a lot of anti-Hillary sentiment that Joe simply doesn't have and Joe did pull a Jesus and resurrected MI from the dead with the auto bailout. Sorry Anti-Nafta, just not as good. Also, Bernie voted against legislation for Flint clean water. (look it up).

Now onto WA state. Bernie has a genuine opportunity to hold onto the West Coast. One little wrinkle. Bye-bye caucus. Bernie could pull an upset here as the SOS of WA, a REP, threw a little wrinkle onto the ballot that you have to mark D or R on the ballot and was not publicized much. Also with early voting, Bernie flight may not have gotten into the early voting and could help him with narrow margins. I'm going to toss WA into the Bernie column.

So at the end of the night, Bernie will have ND and WA. Biden will have, well screw it, he'll have MI and the rest are just candies on the sundae. Tomorrow is make or break for Bernie because looming next week is FL, OH, AZ, and IL and he's projected to lose all 4 of those and there are a ton of delegates in those contests.

[LisaM]

1. Last time around, the Republican primary in Michigan

Had all kinds of mischief going on. Remember all the vote trading the Kasich people were trying to engineer?

I live in Washington and I think a lot of people waited to vote because we weren't sure if Warren would still be in. Since she's not, look for a little bit of a "block Bernie" movement. And don't forget that last time Washington had a primary (by law) and the results were wildly different from the caucuses, with a much higher turnout and a different result. I know many women who simply did not want to go to the caucuses and get bullied by the Bernie people (not to mention that it was Easter weekend and the Sanders people kept some of the places open until after 11:00 pm, prevailing on attrition).

[RDavisJ1]

2. Excellent Point

There is a reason why Bernie does well in caucus and not so great in primary. But, I think he's going to get a thumping in ID.

We will see, I was trying to be generous. If he loses MI and WA and walks out with only North Dakota can't help but think it's time to hire the orchestra because the following week, the fat lady will be singing.

[kurtcagle]

5. Washington will go Biden

I've seen very few signs this time around, and most are for Biden. Most conversations I've had here in Issaquah, which skews progressive, have been pro Biden as well. Moreover, we are at the epicenter of the community covid epidemic, and no on here is interested in radical change. We want Trump out. Period. In 2016, may family was split down the middle on Clinton vs Sanders. This year it's all Biden.

[LovingA2andMI]

3. Joe Biden will win Michigan by 5%

n/t

[MFM008]

4. Nobody says Sanders has

a lock on Washington State.
we will see..........