Joe Biden takes huge lead in Washington State. Crushing Defeat for Sanders

[wiley]

It's the end of the road for Sanders.

From Nate Silver
@NateSilver538

You can lose Texas and still have a winning Democratic coalition. You can lose Michigan and still have a winning coalition. You can lose Washington state and still have a winning Democratic coalition. But you sure as hell can't lose all three of them.

Haven't looked at *every* county in Washington but I've looked at a lot:

On average, Biden is doing 22-24% better in new returns than in the ones released last night (depending on how you weight the average). And Bernie is doing 5-7% better.

So that's a net swing of ~17% toward Biden. If ~45% of returns were not counted on election night, Biden would eventually win Washington by 7 or 8 points.

It's hard to imagine Sanders hanging on in Washington with this big a Biden margin in the new wave of votes.
Joe Biden takes the lead in Washington state.

He carries the first wave of new votes from King County (Seattle area) 58 to 37. Sanders led the initial King County count.

https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20200310/President-Democratic-Party_ByCounty.html

[Happy Hoosier]

1. Oof! It's over Bernie! NT

[Cha]

2. Thanks, wiley!

[showblue22]

3. Holy mackerel!!!

This is a big blow. Is he sure he wants the rest of the states to vote?

[ucrdem]

4. He bragged about winning WA in his upside-down concession speech ...

he got everything else wrong so why not this too?

[Cha]

13. What? BS said he won Washington in that

speech?!

Was he ahead at the time?

Mahalo, ucr

[musicblind]

15. He didn't.

He said, "We won North Dakota and, at this time, with 67% of the vote in, we are currently ahead in Washington."

Which was technically true and something most politicians would have said.

He was clear that Tuesday was not a good night for his campaign by any means.

[Cha]

16. And now he's lost Washington.. thank you.

[Vivienne235729]

5. The map didn't show up right on my android phone. Is the pea green color Biden? Bernie is yellow?

[Talitha]

7. On my laptop, I see Biden in grey and Sanders in beige.

I'm guessing you're seeing pea green instead of grey, and yellow instead of beige?

The northern border is predominantly beige, and the land mass jutting out to the NW is grey.

Hope this helps!

[Vivienne235729]

10. It's like that blue or grey dress that went viral. Ha! Truth be told, it's probably my eyes. Lol

But yes, that helps. Thanks for the clarificationTalitha!

[former9thward]

6. A 1.5% is a "huge lead"?

Ok, got it....

[NCProgressive]

9. Yes, it is. Sanders won that state before by 26 points.

[fleabiscuit]

29. It was a caucus then, this was a primary now. nt

[Vivienne235729]

11. I didn't think Biden was even suppose to come close in WA. This is Bernie's territory. Or so it WAS.

Not anymore. What a nailbiter!

[Happy Hoosier]

12. I think it's a reference to the late vote cited in the article.

In the more recent vote, Biden has a large lead.

[wiley]

22. With 300K votes left at an average of same day of 80% going to Biden

It's going to be a rout. If just same day voting is counted, Sanders got slaughtered. Sad, but true.

[NCProgressive]

8. ...

[betsuni]

14. ...

[Tarheel_Dem]

17. Any idea how soon this race might be called? n/t

[wiley]

21. There are only 300K votes left to be counted.

Next tally at 2 today

[Tarheel_Dem]

25. Thank you.

[grantcart]

18. Do you have link to Nate Solver column?

[wiley]

20. @Nate_Cohn

Is where the projections come from

[blue-wave]

19. It appears as though the revolution

is fizzling out. Time to call it quits, Mr. Sanders. Think about the country instead of your ego for once.

[NurseJackie]

23. Wow! There is ANOTHER HUMILIATING DEFEAT!!!

Hey Bernie! Nobody is buying what you're selling! It's time to accept reality. Be gracious and conceded. Withdraw from the race and preserve a little dignity. At this rate, he risks destroying whatever professional respect he may have had in the Senate (apparently not too much to begin with according to interviews) and his stature and influence will be even further diminished.

[Scurrilous]

24. Deep South, Border State, Rust Belt, Pacific Northwest.

No region wants a revolution. Up, down, coast to coast rejection.

[LizBeth]

26. Out of all the states Sanders got Idaho.

[ucrdem]

27. It looks like he lost Idaho too.

He'll always have North Dakota however. . .

[LizBeth]

28. Oh, ok. My bad. It was N Dakota, lol. Ha ha.

[Indykatie]

30. Bernie Proving His Only Real Strength is Caucuses and There Weren't Enough To Boost Him in 2020

[beachbumbob]

31. still lots of votes left to counted in California as a couple of million still waiting to be