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workinclasszero's JournalTrump Polling Worse Among African-Americans Than Any Republican Since Barry Goldwater
Trump Polling Worse Among African-Americans Than Any Republican Since Barry Goldwater
DOUG MATACONIS · WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 10, 2016
Donald Trump isn’t just having problems with women, he’s also on a path to do worse among African-Americans than virtually any Republican nominee since Thomas Dewey in 1948:
http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/trump-polling-worse-among-african-americans-than-any-republican-since-barry-goldwater/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+OTB+%28Outside+The+Beltway+%7C+OTB%29
The GOP majority could get wiped out in November
The GOP majority could get wiped out in NovemberBy John Podhoretz August 9, 2016
Three months before the election, the news is pretty much all bad for Republicans — so bad, in fact, that the question it raises is whether November is going to see a Democratic wave that not only washes Hillary Clinton into the White House but also secures majorities for Democrats in the Senate and even in the House of Representatives.
Clinton’s steady rise in the polls since the Democratic convention has solidified into a 7.5-point lead in the Real Clear Politics average — twice the margin enjoyed by Barack Obama over John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012 at roughly the same point in the cycle.
Her lead at the moment isn’t even remotely debatable.
http://nypost.com/2016/08/09/why-the-gop-majority-could-get-wiped-out-in-november/
Trump's long dalliance with violent rhetoric
Beyond his own incendiary comments, he's done little to mute loose talk of killing Clinton and Obama.By MICHAEL CROWLEY 08/10/16 02:19 PM EDT
In May, the Secret Service investigated Donald Trump’s butler over a Facebook post saying that President Barack Obama “should be shot as an enemy agent.”
Secret Service agents also interviewed a Trump campaign adviser last month, after he said that Hillary Clinton “should be put in the firing line and shot for treason.”
In December, Trump himself appeared on the radio show of the conspiracy theorist Alex Jones, who has warned that the federal government might round up gun owners “like Jews in Nazi Germany.”
And refrains of “hang the bitch” and “kill the bitch” have grown increasingly common at Trump rallies.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/trump-violent-rhetoric-history-226873
In case you think Trumps stochastic terrorism is a dumb harmless joke...(Warning brutal pics inside)
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The Polls Aren’t Skewed: Trump Really Is Losing Badly
The Polls Aren’t Skewed: Trump Really Is Losing Badly
By Harry Enten AUG 9, 2016 AT 6:30 AM
We’ve reached that stage of the campaign. The back-to-school commercials are on the air, and the “unskewing” of polls has begun — the quadrennial exercise in which partisans simply adjust the polls to get results more to their liking, usually with a thin sheen of math-y words to make it all sound like rigorous analysis instead of magical thinking.
If any of this sounds familiar — and if I sound a little exasperated — it’s probably because we went through this four years ago. Remember UnSkewedPolls.com? (The website is defunct, but you can view an archived picture of it here.) The main contention of that site and others like it was that the polls had too many Democratic respondents in their samples. Dean Chambers, who ran the site, regularly wrote that the polls were vastly undercounting independents and should have used a higher proportion of Republicans in their samples. But in the end, the polls underestimated President Obama’s margin.
Now the unskewers are back, again insisting that pollsters are “using” more Democrats than they should, and that the percentage of Democrats and Republicans should be equal, or that there should be more Republicans.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-arent-skewed-trump-really-is-losing-badly/
Donald Trump’s appeals to Bernie Sanders backers fall flat
Donald Trump’s appeals to Bernie Sanders backers fall flatUpdated August 7, 2016 By Emily Ngo
HIGHLIGHTS
Former Sanders supporters say ideological gulf is too deep
CNN/ORC Poll: 91 percent of Sanders backers prefer Hilllary Clinton
Donald Trump’s courting of Bernie Sanders’ followers appears to be bearing little fruit, with many Sanders backers saying the ideological gulf is too deep.
https://www.newsday.com/news/nation/donald-trump-s-appeals-to-bernie-sanders-backers-fall-flat-1.12137772
No, Jill Stein, WiFi Isn’t Cooking Our Children’s Brainzzzz
No, Jill Stein, WiFi Isn’t Cooking Our Children’s BrainzzzzBy Fare la Volpe - August 7, 2016 - 12:07pm
Greetings once more, dear readers! It’s that time of the week for the Snake Oil Bulletin!
This week we continue our ongoing theme of examining the anti-science beliefs of the various frontrunners and also-rans of this three-ring election cycle. Originally we were planning to look at Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party and his beliefs on mandatory vaccines (spoiler: he no like), but Green Party Jill Stein made the ill-advised decision speak into a microphone again, and as it was last time, the result was terrible for science.
http://wonkette.com/605241/no-jill-stein-wifi-isnt-cooking-our-childrens-brainzzzz
HUFFPOLLSTER: Arizona Might Be The Newest Battleground State
Virginia also looks bluer than usual.08/08/2016 08:22 am ET
Natalie Jackson Senior Polling Editor, The Huffington Post
DONALD TRUMP MIGHT BE SHIFTING STATES FROM RED TO PURPLE - HuffPollster: “A new set of battleground state polls out Sunday morning from CBS News/YouGov adds evidence of some surprising trends in the 2016 race: Arizona looks more like a battleground state than Virginia.
Among likely voters in Arizona, CBS/YouGov finds Republican nominee Donald Trump leading by only 2 points. Incorporating that into the HuffPost Pollster average puts Trump only very slightly ahead ― 45.7 percent to Hillary Clinton’s 45.1 percent. In Virginia, Trump is 12 points behind the Democratic nominee among likely voters, according to the CBS/YouGov poll.
Polls have generally found a consistent and substantial Clinton lead in the Old Dominion state. With this latest one included, the HuffPost Pollster average shows Clinton leading by 5.5 points….Both states are showing a reversal from trends in the last few presidential election cycles, and that’s not good news for Trump.” [HuffPost]
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/arizona-newest-battleground-state_us_57a8752ae4b021fd98790f1a?ir=Politics§ion=us_politics&utm_hp_ref=politics
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