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Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
7. That is a Happy Adjuster topic
Sat Nov 17, 2018, 10:04 PM
Nov 2018

Nobody who properly evaluates variables and outcomes is placing any stock in it. As I've mentioned, the odds on Florida won't change at all.

Bottom line, we can't keep making silly mistakes in Florida. Republicans have their act together in this state. It is exactly the opposite of what I witnessed in Nevada, where the Democratic operation was more sophisticated. Bill Nelson basically didn't campaign at all the first 8 months of the year. He assumed he was well known throughout Florida. Not the case. This segment of a recent Marc Caputo column was sickening. Nelson may have been able to win this race if he merely took the time to introduce himself to the newly transplanted Puerto Ricans:

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/florida-playbook/2018/11/15/nelson-needs-royal-flush-more-fraud-or-stupidity-recounts-to-end-start-today-mar-a-lagos-handbag-ambassador-killer-monkeys-347510

"BORICUA BAROMETER — We wrote more than our fair share of stories about how, early on, it appeared that Scott had made some in roads with Puerto Rican voters while Sen. Bill Nelson’s lack of name ID in the Boricua community was too low for a Democrat. Scott didn’t need to win the Democratic-leaning Puerto Rican vote. But he needed to just eat into Nelson’s margins enough. Well, here’s what one Democrat privately told us was “a hell of a data point” from the results in Osceola and Orange counties, the heart of the Boricua diaspora: Nelson’s combined margin in the two counties was 132,423, compared to Democratic gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum’s margin of 146,026 over Ron DeSantis. Difference: 13,603. The margin in the Senate race as it went to recount: 12,562. So despite the fact 969 fewer people voted in the governor’s race than the Senate race, Scott won 9,737 more votes in these two counties than DeSantis — and Nelson got 3,866 fewer than Gillum."

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