Question for the Hivemind - Odds of Resuming Group Activities by June 7, 2020?

[Algernon Moncrieff]

Any answer from wild-ass guess to "here's an article...." is welcome. I keep hearing/seeing dates in April that I think are wildly optimistic, but I'm not seeing consensus on where we are by June (the 7th is the first Sunday). A "Group Activity" would include, but not be limited to: a bar, a ballgame, an amusement park, a farmer's market, a charity run/walk/bike ride, a restaurant, a trip to a store, going to the gym, a campaign event for your favorite Democrat, or anything else you can dream up outside the house with no particular social distancing.

17 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
	Zero - we will still be very much in lockdown
	9 (53%)
	1% - 15%: I doubt it, but maybe we get lucky based on what we are doing now
	1 (6%)
	16% - 30%: Probably not. Possibly, but we'll likely go deeper into summer
	5 (29%)
	31% - 45%: Maybe, Could go either way. I'm pessimistic
	1 (6%)
	46% - 60%: Maybe, Could go either way. I'm optimistic
	0 (0%)
	61% - 75%: It's better than two months from now. I like the odds.
	1 (6%)
	76% - 90%: We're doing the right things. I think we're good by June
	0 (0%)
	91% - 100%: I'm confident we'll be done or nearly back to normal by June 7
	0 (0%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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