General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: How exactly are there "only" supposed to be 60,000 deaths? [View all]former9thward
(32,114 posts)Heard everything now...
Their projection is 60,000 by May 19. After that it will basically level off for the rest of the summer with almost no additional deaths. Their model also has a certain amount of statistical uncertainty in it like every other model ever. By May 19 there could be as high as 138,727 deaths or a little as 34,052 deaths. For the rest of the summer it could be as high as 140,000 deaths or a low as just over 34,000. But the most likely number is the 60,000 number
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
If you think the U of Washington is a right wing CT group maybe you should post a model showing what you think.
Their modeling has certainly more accurate than the absurd 2.2 million dead that was put out just a short time ago by many. Or some who posted that tens of millions would die and there would be almost no one left to vote in the November election.