General Discussion
Showing Original Post only (View all)What is your sense of how this will end? [View all]
Joe is elected and there is a normal transition?
Joe is elected, and the election result is challenged in court?
Joe is elected. The President resigns so the VP can issue a blanket pardon before Joe takes office (for only the Federal charges, I should note)?
The President is re-elected?
Joe wins, but the President moves to invalidate the election through non-judicial means?
My best guess:
- I think Joe will win. I think the win will not be a "landslide" but will be convincing enough. (~300-350 EV)
- There will be a lot of bluster from the President, but he will leave. I think that's especially the case if there is neither a Senate nor House GOP majority coming in.
- I think he has no interest in a transition, and will turn over to Pence in exchange for a pardon. Otherwise, I expect him to golf for two months. I suspect he will leave the WH for good on 11/4 and head to Florida.
- The ex-President will immediately move into the conservative media business. He knows TV, and it's a sure-fire moneymaker for him.