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Model35mech

(2,047 posts)
23. Yes I think so. But if that localized strike isn't on a nuclear power
Wed Apr 27, 2022, 11:52 AM
Apr 2022

(or a member of an alliance that has 'a strike on any of us is a strike on all of us' security obligation) that response may not be a retaliatory nuclear strike. However, if the radioactive impact of a Putin strike damages a NATO partner retaliation would probably be open to reciprocal use of the biggest things on the table.

Retaliation for a nuke strike in Ukraine is harder to speculate on. If Russia tosses one of their many tactical nukes I think it's likely they toss many at easy soft targets. How many is a factor that would perhaps scale ( though likely exponentially) the international response.

Foreseeably responses would almost surely involve clean-up and health-care teams probably composed of militaryt and also probably protected by international military forces to deal with nuclear contamination and injuries. Also it's almost certain to result in the distribution of more and more powerful and long-range lethal aid, that could include weapons capable of reaching into Russian territory and vessels anywhere on the Black Sea.

I also would expect much enhanced economic and cyber warfare on soft but seriously important economic assets. It's likely that any nation standing with Russia would lose favored nation trading status. Beyond that are the many possibilities that depend on just how pissed off the international community becomes.

Crippling rather than merely weakening Russia would likely become the goal and Russian near full economic isolation would be advanced.

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Taking the war to Russia: [View all] Tomconroy Apr 2022 OP
K&R ck4829 Apr 2022 #1
I hope "the war has crossed into Russia"...nt Wounded Bear Apr 2022 #2
I imagine fuel and ammo supply stores near the border Aussie105 Apr 2022 #3
Ukraine won't target civilians. They aren't russia. Tomconroy Apr 2022 #4
Since day one the war has been taken to Russia Sherman A1 Apr 2022 #5
The West needs to do much more if it is ever going to Tomconroy Apr 2022 #6
The west is doing a whole lot both seen and unseen Sherman A1 Apr 2022 #7
He needs to fire the law professor Tomconroy Apr 2022 #8
Like Rumsfeld with Iraq, Putin thought his invasion would be a done deal in a month DFW Apr 2022 #9
The use of nuclear weapons is part of Russian military doctrine. Tomconroy Apr 2022 #10
Nukes are 'first strike' weapons...they depend on the element of surprise Model35mech Apr 2022 #13
Would international punishment be severe if Putin fires off Tomconroy Apr 2022 #20
Yes I think so. But if that localized strike isn't on a nuclear power Model35mech Apr 2022 #23
I would amend that slightly DFW Apr 2022 #17
Putin takes out a city in Ukraine. Do you think the US will Tomconroy Apr 2022 #21
We won't launch anything in return DFW Apr 2022 #22
How do you define 'our way' when considering radioactive fallout and Article 5? Model35mech Apr 2022 #24
If it were a "dirty" bomb, Soviet scientists knew already how far and how bad the fallout would get DFW Apr 2022 #26
I do think fallout drfting to another nation will be treated the same as an attack Model35mech Apr 2022 #27
He used a lot of bombs to level Mairupol. Is it much Tomconroy Apr 2022 #25
Yes, it would be hugely different to use a nuclear bomb DFW Apr 2022 #28
Every war starts with the aggressor thinking it's gonna take about a week or two Walleye Apr 2022 #11
Indeed, Ma'am The Magistrate Apr 2022 #12
That is a great quote. About not learning from history Walleye Apr 2022 #16
There's This One As Well, Ma'am The Magistrate Apr 2022 #19
Ain't that the truth DFW Apr 2022 #14
The Southerners thought those northern city boys didn't know how to shoot guns. Much like now Walleye Apr 2022 #15
If they read the headlines from L.A. and Chicago these days DFW Apr 2022 #18
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