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brooklynite

(96,882 posts)
1. The polling average just before the election was:
Fri Jul 5, 2024, 11:30 AM
Jul 2024

Labour 39%
Conservative 20%
Reform 17%
Lib Dem 12%
Other 12%

The actual vote results were

Labour 34%
Conservative 24%
Reform 14%
Lib Dem 12%
Other 17%

I would say not radically different.

Too many people here criticize polling because 1) they've decided that the outset that the media sponsors of polls are intentionally biased, 2) it goes against their personal sense of the race (there are folks who claim Biden will win in a landslide, which is counter to what the Biden campaign says), and 3) poll reporting tends to focus on "winners and losers" rather than margins. Most polling today shows both Biden and Trump below 50% and the marginal difference in single digits, which ice pretty much where the race is.

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