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Abnredleg

(1,016 posts)

2. 538 says she got her bounce before the convention

Reply to SheltieLover (Original post)

Mon Sep 9, 2024, 06:35 AM

Sep 2024

They also point out that conventions don’t move the polls as much as they used to.

https://abcnews.go.com/538/harris-polling-bounce-convention-after/story?id=113273029

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Highlight:

Where is Harris's convention bounce? Translation: how hard did media work to suppress the facts? [View all] SheltieLover Sep 2024 OP

I don't believe it either. maptap22 Sep 2024 #1

538 says she got her bounce before the convention Abnredleg Sep 2024 #2

I think this is the case SCantiGOP Sep 2024 #22

With good reason. BWdem4life Sep 2024 #30

BS........ Lovie777 Sep 2024 #3

Yep, Silver is on somebody's payroll. Every convention until the recent DNC got a bounce. brush Sep 2024 #4

538 ne Silver krkaufman Sep 2024 #15

I don't recall any bounce from this year's RNC. bluescribbler Sep 2024 #23

I remember the lack of RNC bounce being commented on, actually. n/t D23MIURG23 Sep 2024 #31

That's what I thought. bluescribbler Sep 2024 #32

She got a bounce. lees1975 Sep 2024 #5

Affirmed by the ABC news poll that came out today. Though I think they may be holding back too. lees1975 Sep 2024 #27

393 electoral votes? What are they smoking? sarisataka Sep 2024 #28

WaPo reported this morning that black votes are energized to vote for Harris. Lonestarblue Sep 2024 #6

Everyone is totally locked in already. BlueTsunami2018 Sep 2024 #7

Yes, the vote is mostly locked in by now, but voter turnout is not. Trueblue Texan Sep 2024 #20

Like every other woman, we will have to work 10 times harder to get Kamala elected SheltieLover Sep 2024 #26

I heard it announced that she hardly had any bounce. spanone Sep 2024 #8

I don't believe a word of it either! SheltieLover Sep 2024 #25

Agreed!!!! spanone Sep 2024 #33

Msm, print & tv, are both becoming obsolete, they just don't know it yet. SheltieLover Sep 2024 #34

Are the polls even relevant? werdna Sep 2024 #9

Project 2025 seems so long ago. Kid Berwyn Sep 2024 #10

The media keeps propping up trump as a financial genius. they refuse to report on mucifer Sep 2024 #11

I think we're in good shape, but it's all the better if we act as if we're losing. We need to fight complacency. NNadir Sep 2024 #12

Absolutely! Almost everyone can phone bank, write letters or postcards, or donate SheltieLover Sep 2024 #24

I've been suspicious of the polls this entire cycle. D23MIURG23 Sep 2024 #13

This piece from The Economist adds some historical context Shrek Sep 2024 #14

they may not be reporting, or perhaps detecting a convention bounce... Trueblue Texan Sep 2024 #21

Convention bounces don't happen anymore. Self Esteem Sep 2024 #16

According to Sean Briscoe Casandia Sep 2024 #17

The entire concept of "polling" and "election analysis" is deprecated BumRushDaShow Sep 2024 #18

Media wants it to appear close because that's exciting IronLionZion Sep 2024 #19

I am sure there is/was a bounce. gordianot Sep 2024 #29

Both msm and polls tend to skew to the right. ananda Sep 2024 #35