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RobinA

(10,478 posts)

16. In PA

Reply to gab13by13 (Reply #12)

Mon Oct 21, 2024, 01:16 PM

Oct 2024

more early voters are Democrats. This goes back to when Trump was demonizing voting by mail just as PA was first getting vote by mail. Trump has been sending out fliers saying to vote early, but we've been so inundated by election crap I doubt anybody on any side is still paying attention. It doesn't much matter to the results, because in PA they can't even open the ballots until election day.

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PA: Close to 1 million people have voted. 63% of those early votes are Democrats [View all] Mr.WeRP Oct 2024 OP

Keep it up PA!!! awesomerwb1 Oct 2024 #1

But republicans can vote for democrats and vice versa mucifer Oct 2024 #2

Can't read your intent Lithos Oct 2024 #3

It's safe to say that the defection rate among Rs will be much higher than Ds Mr.WeRP Oct 2024 #4

Not as much as one might think. TwilightZone Oct 2024 #8

This isnt a normal election, and nothing like 2020 getagrip_already Oct 2024 #10

but Jan 6 will move more people away from R than typical -- he is a dirtbag...etc JT45242 Oct 2024 #11

Yeah, tens of thousands of Democrats crossing over to vote for TCF. Wednesdays Oct 2024 #26

Ugh God Dem4life1234 Oct 2024 #29

Good measure of enthusiasm, but not predictive of final tally. Nt Fiendish Thingy Oct 2024 #5

If actual votes aren't predictive, then nothing is. W_HAMILTON Oct 2024 #9

Remember, Republicans vote last. Fiendish Thingy Oct 2024 #15

I'd rather have votes already banked that counting on Election Day turnout. W_HAMILTON Oct 2024 #22

They aren't predictive. We have no real way MontanaFarmer Oct 2024 #20

They are. And people much more knowledgeable than me or you can and have used them to predict the final outcome before. W_HAMILTON Oct 2024 #21

Correct. That's essentially what i said. MontanaFarmer Oct 2024 #28

Nevada is not a good example. Self Esteem Oct 2024 #30

Early voting is the most meaningful source of data we have at this point -- period. W_HAMILTON Oct 2024 #33

Not really. Self Esteem Oct 2024 #34

Targetsmart Deminpenn Oct 2024 #6

That's a 325,000 vote difference, about 135,000 more than Trump's same day lead in 2020. lees1975 Oct 2024 #7

Buuuut what do the polls say? gab13by13 Oct 2024 #12

In PA RobinA Oct 2024 #16

Republicans vote last Fiendish Thingy Oct 2024 #17

Is that sarcasm? Sugarcoated Oct 2024 #19

2 of those votes gab13by13 Oct 2024 #13

What was 2020 at this point? Polybius Oct 2024 #14

In some states it is Fiendish Thingy Oct 2024 #18

I'm curious too epreic01 Oct 2024 #23

The data by time isn't easy to find. But so far, this tracks the same percentages from 2020. Mr.WeRP Oct 2024 #24

Democrats two-points behind their final 2020 total and Republicans four-points ahead... Self Esteem Oct 2024 #35

I'm not a religious person but, um, God, how about a snowstorm on Nov 5th? progressoid Oct 2024 #25

I keep on thinking, PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2024 #27

More info on Penn TheProle Oct 2024 #31

TargetSmart early voting dashboard Deminpenn Oct 2024 #32