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Deminpenn

(17,440 posts)

9. It's your theory and conclusion

Reply to TwilightZone (Reply #8)

Fri Nov 1, 2024, 06:16 PM

Nov 2024

that neither candidate is ahead or behind because theoretically adding the max to one candidate and subtracting it from the other could change the outcome.

But that's not what the evidence shows. Neither candidate's vote share is moving much at all indicating the race is stable, not volatile.

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MASSIVE New Poll Shows Trump Getting Crushed By Blue Wall Bulwark Takes [View all] Jmb 4 Harris-Walz Nov 2024 OP

2-3% lead with a 4% MOE isn't exactly"getting crushed" nt Fiendish Thingy Nov 2024 #1

Great minds and all that... TwilightZone Nov 2024 #3

It isn't of course OKIsItJustMe Nov 2024 #5

It's the title of the video - Tim Miller named it Earthrise Nov 2024 #11

A 2-3% lead in polls that have an MOE isn't even remotely "crushed" TwilightZone Nov 2024 #2

Just check the poster's bio NoRethugFriends Nov 2024 #4

Sources OKIsItJustMe Nov 2024 #6

There is too much value being put on MOE Deminpenn Nov 2024 #7

MOE isn't a theory. TwilightZone Nov 2024 #8

It's your theory and conclusion Deminpenn Nov 2024 #9

No clue where you got that idea. TwilightZone Nov 2024 #10

I understand MOE is a statistical calculation Deminpenn Nov 2024 #13

A wild supposition OKIsItJustMe Nov 2024 #12