Last night I saw why the GOP will lose again in '16

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I caught the end of the O'Reilly show over on fox. He reads a few letters/emails at the end of each show. When I came in he had just started that segment. He read 2 from people who were commenting on a previous show where O'reilly must have been talking about Christie being the apparent front runner for the next election. Both of these commenters basically said this (not exact quotes) "If the GOP nominates another moderate like Christie, I will not support him or vote for him" O'Reilly pointed this out as a problem that may be overcome by Christie GETTING more independent voters. Here is MY theory, which I have posted in a few OP comments recently.

This is why they will lose. There are only 2 scenarios for the GOP.
1- They nominate Christie, or some other seemingly "moderate" candidate. The far right, tea party types, etc, refuse to support him/her and stay home. The extra independent votes just equals it out and there is no vote gain. They lose.
2- The "conservatives" FINALLY get their long-awaited wish of getting a TRUE CONSERVATIVE candidate. A Cruz/Palin, whatever. They flock to the polls, but nobody else does and again, they lose. I wonder what their excuse would be then? Blame the liberal media?

And thats what is different here. Obviously Hillary is the frontrunner for '16. Many here on DU do not want her as the candidate, but 90% of those, from the comments I've read, WILL vote for her over a GOP candidate. Because staying home is almost the same as voting for the opponent. The GOP righties are too stupid to realize this and will continue to cut their own throats. You already see it with them running primary opponents against incumbents.

So thats my take on it. I dont see any scenario where the GOP will realize their folly and come together. The Democrats almost always have in the end.