Dem governor's group DGA not supporting Wendy Davis campaign? Says Dems can't win in TX.

[Savannahmann]

63. Personally...

Personally, I'd like nothing better than to see Wendy Davis win the Governor's mansion. But I don't believe that wishes will come out that way. So I have to take a look like the rest of us, at the Strategic, instead of tactical, situation.

But for the sake of argument, let's pretend that Wendy did win the Governor's mansion. She would have a hostile Rethug Legislature, and would be powerless to enact the reforms she wanted to vis a vie Choice without them. So best case scenario, gridlock in the Texas Legislature. Worst case, she has to sign legislation that they can pass without her signature by over-riding her veto. We know she's far more pro gun than a majority of Liberals, so she would have minimal support through the non traditional media on many of those bills that Texas would certainly submit for her approval, bills designed to make the recent Georgia gun bill look wimpy by comparison.

The Strategic I mentioned a paragraph above. We are in real danger, and don't let the cheerleaders fool you, very real danger of losing the Senate. Right now, eight toss up races exist, if the Rethugs win half of them, just four, they win control of the Senate. Republicans in control of the House, and Senate, means that the last two years of the Obama administration is shot to hell. The best we can hope for is that he remains strong and veto's the legislation put before him, forget reforming anything, or liberalizing any policy. Now obviously, that is the most important strategic situation facing us as Democrats. Nothing can matter more this election than holding control of the Senate.

Now, with that Strategic reality facing us, and acknowledging that we have limited funds and abilities, where do we dedicate our assets? If we try and win everything including races like Wendy's where there is no real hope, we will lose the Senate, and a lot more. If we ignore the battles we can't win, and focus on those we can, we stand a fair chance of holding onto the Senate by one vote, one.

Now, that reality is one we can't afford to lose. In the last two years of President Obama's term, we may have the opportunity to appoint a Supreme Court Justice. Imagine the Justice we'd be stuck with should the Rethugs control the Senate. With that reality in mind, I say that the one thing we can't afford to lose is the Senate. It's more important than showing Wendy how much we appreciate her courageous stand. it's more important than putting up a good, if token fight, for a district in which the Rethug will be re-elected. It's more important than anything we can try and do.

The larger the majority we can manage in the Senate, the easier it will be to handle the Judicial nominees, and especially a Supreme Court Justice should one open up. But if we lose the Senate, we should all take to praying that nothing happens until such time as we can regain the Senate.

Sun Tzu calls this sort of situation, Death Ground. It is literally not figuratively victory or death. Because if we lose the Senate, we start the battle for the White House in 2016 from behind, and with nearly unlimited funds via the two Supreme Court decisions, the Rethugs will have a much better chance in 2016 than we would like to think. This election is setting up the biggest battle any of us has ever imagined. This November, the ground will be lain for the battle for the White House and control of the Government in 2016. We just can't afford to lose the Senate. I can't say that strongly enough. I'm sorry that means not supporting a woman who is obviously as worthy as Wendy Davis, but worthy doesn't mean capable of victory, and the Rethugs will hold the Texas Legislature, there is no way we could afford to fight the various individual battles to take that back. I'm sorry, but that is the reality we are facing.