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In reply to the discussion: All of this Hillary bashing is not going to end well. It might be fulfilling for some [View all]jeff47
(26,549 posts)And correcting those problems are utterly critical if Clinton is to win.
For example, she appears to be running yet another inevitability campaign. That's a really, really, really bad idea.
1) She lost. Blows up her entire argument. "This time is different!" just makes her sound like Bullwinkle pulling a rabbit out of a hat.
2) Like all Democrats, she needs turnout. "I'll win even if you stay home" is not an argument that boosts turnout.
3) Democrats need something to vote for. "I'm gonna win anyway, so come along for the ride" does not give them something to vote for.
#3 is why she lost 2008. Her supporters talk about things like "better organization", but that came about because Obama gave people something to vote for. So they organized for him. They worked their asses off for him. "I'm gonna win no matter what, so sit on your ass" doesn't do that.
At best, she will essentially tie the Republican. The winner will come down to a coin-flip by a tiny sliver of the population, as in 2000. Repeating 2000 should utterly horrify any Democrat.
Hopefully she'll drop the inevitability strategy when her campaign really starts. But since she clung to it in 2008, and is starting with the same strategy again, I do not believe she will.
She will not face Rubio, Cruz or some other cartoon character. Just like Giuliani wasn't the Republican candidate in 2008. She will face a formidable Republican who does not appear completely insane.
That is why I want another Democrat in 2016. Because at this moment, it looks like Clinton's strategy is going to make it a close election by using an inevitability strategy. And that gives plenty of room for us to lose.