Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Showing Original Post only (View all)
 

Savannahmann

(3,891 posts)
Wed Oct 29, 2014, 09:54 PM Oct 2014

Harvard Institute of Politics says Millennials breaking for GOP. [View all]

I honestly don't know how many more times I'll have to say it. We have to earn the votes. We have to give people something to vote for, instead of praying that our enemy commits suicide.

http://www.iop.harvard.edu/october-29-2014-fall-2014-survey?utm_source=website&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Fall2014Survey

Cambridge, MA – A new national poll of America’s 18- to 29- year-olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds slightly more than half (51%) of young Americans who say they will “definitely be voting” in November prefer a Republican-run Congress with 47 percent favoring Democrat control – a significant departure from IOP polling findings before the last midterm elections (Sept. 2010 – 55%: prefer Democrat control; 43%: prefer Republican control). The cohort – 26% of whom report they will “definitely” vote in the midterms – appear up-for-grabs to both political parties and could be a critical swing vote in many races in November.


But the bad news doesn't stop there.

The IOP’s fall poll finds young whites disapprove of President Obama’s job performance by more than a two-to-one margin (31% approve, 65% disapprove) while African-Americans continue to show a strong loyalty to the president, giving him a 78 percent approval rating (17% disapprove). This approval gap (47 percentage points) among Whites and African-Americans is significantly wider than the 36 percentage point gap in Obama’s approval rating between African-American and whites found in fall 2009 IOP polling. On the question of which party should control Congress, young whites preferred Republicans over Democrats by a 53 to 40 percentage point margin. African-Americans, meanwhile, said by a 68 to 23 point margin that they preferred Democrats running the legislative branch. Among Hispanics, Democrats also fared better, with 59 percent preferring a Democrat-controlled Congress with 34 percent wanting Republican control.


I said this was bad news, let me explain. 93% of Blacks voted for President Obama in 2012. That means that the best that can be said is that we've lost about 25% of the black community.

The Democratic Party perfect opposing party candidates are best represented by the old Monty Python movie Life of Brian.



When the Republicans aren't willing to actually do that, we have a fight on our hands. Something we're utterly unprepared for.

Um, GOTV, or something. Go team blue.
37 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
One small but important clarification .... pkdu Oct 2014 #1
I don't know from 'many', or whether they have to be 'young' to disapprove Erich Bloodaxe BSN Oct 2014 #3
Completely agree...the raw number is used to make candidates move "right" nt pkdu Oct 2014 #5
That's fine customerserviceguy Oct 2014 #4
Agreed . We need same or better turnout...heck , I'm resigned (too late for this election)... pkdu Oct 2014 #7
"we need those who turned out in 2008 and 2012 to come out again." Nuclear Unicorn Oct 2014 #12
I really wish they'd actually ask 'why'? Erich Bloodaxe BSN Oct 2014 #2
Agreed. Nuclear Unicorn Oct 2014 #13
The poll also had this analysis, contrary to this one. Fred Sanders Oct 2014 #6
Aw man... calimary Oct 2014 #8
Offshoring good paying jobs and burdening them with massive student loans abelenkpe Oct 2014 #9
that poll sounds like utter nonsense virtualobserver Oct 2014 #10
Perhaps. Perhaps indeed Savannahmann Oct 2014 #16
How Proud Liberal Dem Oct 2014 #17
You should have looked at some of the links Savannahmann Oct 2014 #18
So Proud Liberal Dem Oct 2014 #20
Wow you haven't been paying attention lately have you? Savannahmann Oct 2014 #21
Problem is democrats are not reaching out joeglow3 Nov 2014 #33
there are always AA conservatives virtualobserver Oct 2014 #22
That's faintly horrifying Prophet 451 Oct 2014 #11
Not this Millennial. Ykcutnek Oct 2014 #14
+++ marions ghost Oct 2014 #25
Sometimes polls are bad. DemocraticWing Oct 2014 #15
People deserve what they get when they vote GOP. (But we don't.) Vinca Oct 2014 #19
Raising the age on Social Security? Savannahmann Oct 2014 #26
You realize you're citing the "Moonie Times," right? Vinca Oct 2014 #27
Being disappointed with the Dems and voting Repub is like... CJCRANE Oct 2014 #23
Fools, if the Millennials want to vote GOP so be it, they are the ones who will really get screwed Youdontwantthetruth Oct 2014 #24
millennials-have-landlines? -sure-they-do kal penn virtualobserver Nov 2014 #28
Oh? Savannahmann Nov 2014 #29
some polling companies do.... virtualobserver Nov 2014 #32
What is the Democratic Congressional approval? Savannahmann Nov 2014 #35
all of your concerns are clearly valid... virtualobserver Nov 2014 #36
'It's All Over. There Is no Hope.' Pre-Election Agitprop. MineralMan Nov 2014 #30
What has my message been all year? Savannahmann Nov 2014 #31
Meanwhile, a month ago I saw a poll saying millenials are socialists. JaneyVee Nov 2014 #34
Of course the kids are scared RobertEarl Nov 2014 #37
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Harvard Institute of Poli...