General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: If I'm daring to raise my head above the parapet and post an OP for the first time in months... [View all]JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)who sees a Bernie video and is not completely enthusiastic about his candidacy.
Biden will not go over with college debt-ridden under 50s because he is too closely tied to the 2005 Bankruptcy Reform bill which makes it nearly impossible to discharge student loans in bankruptcy.
Biden is too close to the banks and credit-card industry. He is too close to the crowd that wants to foist the TPP on America.
I don't think either he or Hillary have a chance to win the Democratic nomination.
Watch how Sanders rises in the polls. The Biden factor is of course creating the illusion that Sanders is rising faster than he is, but still Sanders' rise is phenomenal.
The polling predictions based on statistical analysis do not and cannot take into consideration truly unexpected, unpredictable, earth-shaking events like Bernie's candidacy.
Remember. The 2008 bank crisis and stock market collapse were not predicted in spite of all the computer models and statistics the banks and mortgage companies used to justify the risks they took.
Mathematics is great. Algorithms are usually pretty reliable.
But then there are events that surpass expectations, unexpected events.
Bernie is, I think, one of them.
But then, I was in the crowd that greeted Bernie in the Stadium in Southeast Los Angeles recently. I felt the Bern.
The place was full of people of color and young people. The myth that Bernie does not appeal to people of color is not based on fact. Bernie appeals to people of color who are best informed about the issues. And those people that Bernie appeals to are leaders.
Bernie will be the Democratic candidate and he will win unless the Democratic Party leadership and the delegates who are not elected by the voters try to impose their will on Democrats in which case Democrats will lose the general election.
Bernie is speaking to issue after issue that Americans really care about.
He has been speaking to Americans on Thom Hartmann's Brunch with Bernie for years. I realize that the Democratic Party bigwigs and others think that show and liberal radio are jokes, but I think that the reason that Bernie had the confidence to run and why the issues he is emphasizing are so appealing to so many Americans is because Bernie has been feeling the pulse of Americans all these years on Thom Hartmann's show. Anyone can call in and if Bernie answers a variety of questions.
You never can predict who will win an election in a year like this one.
Who would ever have thought that America would elect an African-American president in 2008?
Strange things do happen.
Bernie is going to release his plan for reforming our justice system soon. That will upset a lot of apple carts. Be prepared.