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In reply to the discussion: an honest question:did (supposedly) most white women vote for trump? [View all]progree
(10,996 posts)Last edited Fri Nov 10, 2017, 06:36 PM - Edit history (3)
at least as far as a statistical correlation. And no, I don't think that the vast majority of married white females (by a 24 point margin) are "obeying their husbands", like they are so fucked up that in the privacy of the voting booth they still vote the way their husband wants them to, rather than the way they want to. It's just that a conservative worldview and marriage seem to go together, at least more often than it does in unmarriage, in both genders. Statistically speaking again.
http://elections.reuters.com/#poll
Well, that is where I got this according to my notes, but unfortunately I can't find it anymore, even in the wayback machine (archive.org).
--v--Margin by which white females voted for Romney over Obama in 2012
+13% white females overall
+24% married white females
+ 5% unmarried white females
-18% never married white females
-39% living with partner white females-35% heterosexual and living with partner white females
Indentation is used to indicate subcategories. Bold indicates categories that voted more for Romney than Obama. Normal font is for the opposite -- voted for Obama more than Romney.
Anyway, unmarried white females (as a group) favored Romney too, by a margin of 5%, at least in this exit poll. Its those 3 unbold font subcategories of unmarried that broke in the Obama direction big time.
I haven't been able to find the equivalent for 2016. But I did find marriage and gender in the CNN reporting (the below are all races, not whites only)..
http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/national/president
Trump over Clinton, all races, in 2016:
Married men(+19), Married women(-2), Unmarried men(-2), Unmarried women(-29)
According to that, marriage makes a 21% difference among men, and 27% difference among women in how they vote, statistically speaking and ignoring a lot of other co-occuring factors.