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In reply to the discussion: Democratic Donor Contacts Biden Allies About Possible Run [View all]SheilaT
(23,156 posts)happening is vanishingly small.
And keep in mind, that in 1968 there were three essentially viable candidates. Until Robert Kennedy was murdered. Back then there were a spate of fictionalized versions of "What if RFK had not been killed", and I read at least several of them. The most starry-eyed saw him as getting the nomination and winning the election. The most realistic understood that RFK probably was not going to get the nomination, and see him as a potential kingmaker.
Also, back in 1968, if I recall correctly, there were still states that did not select their delegates to the convention via primary or caucus, but by the Party officials in that state. Again, the modern system, with its all its warts, is different.
I also recall reading an article, probably in an old Life Magazine, but who knows? back around then that claimed the new system of the primaries and caucuses to select the nominee probably didn't result in much difference from the nominees chosen the old way. I read it a long time ago, and I may be completely mis-remembering what was said, but someone far better versed in political science/political history than I am could shed some light on the entire process.
In any case, I absolutely agree with you that if this year Bernie Sanders has the delegate count to get the nomination, and the Party figures out a way to take it from him, there will be hell to pay. And a Republican in the White House. But keep in mind that the Super Delegates have historically gone with the person with the most delegates from the caucuses and primaries. And with only two people still in contention, it is essentially impossible to imagine a brokered convention, unless you envision a situation in which ALL SDs do not vote in the first round at the convention. That's simply not within the realm of possibility, if you ask me. Which you didn't, but I'm telling you anyway.