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mahatmakanejeeves

(70,743 posts)
1. Right on time. From the source:
Fri May 8, 2020, 08:33 AM
May 2020
Nonfarm payroll employment falls 20.5 million in April; unemployment rate rises to 14.7%

Economic News Release USDL-20-0815

Employment Situation Summary
Transmission of material in this news release is embargoed until 8:30 a.m. (EDT) Friday, May 8, 2020

Technical information:
Household data: cpsinfo@bls.gov * www.bls.gov/cps
Establishment data: cesinfo@bls.gov * www.bls.gov/ces

Media contact: (202) 691-5902 * PressOffice@bls.gov


THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION -- APRIL 2020


Total nonfarm payroll employment fell by 20.5 million in April, and the unemployment rate rose to 14.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The changes in these measures reflect the effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and efforts to contain it. Employment fell sharply in all major industry sectors, with particularly heavy job losses in leisure and hospitality.

This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics. The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry. For more information about the concepts and statistical methodology used in these two surveys, see the Technical Note.

Household Survey Data

In April, the unemployment rate increased by 10.3 percentage points to 14.7 percent. This is the highest rate and the largest over-the-month increase in the history of the series (seasonally adjusted data are available back to January 1948). The number of unemployed persons rose by 15.9 million to 23.1 million in April. The sharp increases in these measures reflect the effects of the coronavirus pandemic and efforts to contain it. (See table A-1. For more information about how the household survey and its measures were affected by the coronavirus pandemic, see the box at the end of the news release.)

In April, unemployment rates rose sharply among all major worker groups. The rate was 13.0 percent for adult men, 15.5 percent for adult women, 31.9 percent for teenagers, 14.2 percent for Whites, 16.7 percent for Blacks, 14.5 percent for Asians, and 18.9 percent for Hispanics. The rates for all of these groups, with the exception of Blacks, represent record highs for their respective series. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)

The number of unemployed persons who reported being on temporary layoff increased about ten-fold to 18.1 million in April. The number of permanent job losers increased by 544,000 to 2.0 million. (See table A-11.)

In April, the number of unemployed persons who were jobless less than 5 weeks increased by 10.7 million to 14.3 million, accounting for almost two-thirds of the unemployed. The number of unemployed persons who were jobless 5 to 14 weeks rose by 5.2 million to 7.0 million. The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more), at 939,000, declined by 225,000 over the month and represented 4.1 percent of the unemployed. (See table A-12.)

The labor force participation rate decreased by 2.5 percentage points over the month to 60.2 percent, the lowest rate since January 1973 (when it was 60.0 percent). Total employment, as measured by the household survey, fell by 22.4 million to 133.4 million. The employment-population ratio, at 51.3 percent, dropped by 8.7 percentage points over the month. This is the lowest rate and largest over-the-month decline in the history of the series (seasonally adjusted data are available back to January 1948). (See table A-1.)

The number of persons who usually work full time declined by 15.0 million over the month, and the number who usually work part time declined by 7.4 million. Part-time workers accounted for one-third of the over-the-month employment decline. (See table A-9.)

The number of persons at work part time for economic reasons nearly doubled over the month to 10.9 million. These individuals, who would have preferred full-time employment, were working part time because their hours had been reduced or they were unable to find full-time jobs. This group includes persons who usually work full time and persons who usually work part time. (See table A-8.)

The number of persons not in the labor force who currently want a job, at 9.9 million, nearly doubled in April. These individuals were not counted as unemployed because they were not actively looking for work during the last 4 weeks or were unavailable to take a job. (See table A-1.)

Persons marginally attached to the labor force--a subset of persons not in the labor force who currently want a job--numbered 2.3 million in April, up by 855,000 over the month. These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months but had not looked for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. Discouraged workers, a subset of the marginally attached who believed that no jobs were available for them, numbered 574,000 in April, little changed from the previous month.(See Summary table A.)

Establishment Survey Data

Total nonfarm payroll employment fell by 20.5 million in April, after declining by 870,000 in March. The April over-the-month decline is the largest in the history of the series and brought employment to its lowest level since February 2011 (the series dates back to 1939). Job losses in April were widespread, with the largest employment decline occurring in leisure and hospitality. (See table B-1. For more information about how the establishment survey and its measures were affected by the coronavirus, see the box note at the end of the news release.)

In April, employment in leisure and hospitality plummeted by 7.7 million, or 47 percent. Almost three-quarters of the decrease occurred in food services and drinking places (-5.5 million). Employment also fell in the arts, entertainment, and recreation industry (-1.3 million) and in the accommodation industry (-839,000).

Employment declined by 2.5 million in education and health services in April. In health care, employment declined by 1.4 million, led by losses in offices of dentists (-503,000), offices of physicians (-243,000), and offices of other health care practitioners (-205,000). Employment also declined in social assistance (-651,000), reflecting job losses in child day care services (-336,000) and individual and family services (-241,000). Employment in private education declined by 457,000 over the month.

Professional and business services shed 2.1 million jobs in April. Sharp losses occurred in temporary help services (-842,000) and in services to buildings and dwellings (-259,000).

In April, employment in retail trade declined by 2.1 million. Job losses occurred in clothing and clothing accessories stores (-740,000), motor vehicle and parts dealers (-345,000), miscellaneous store retailers (-264,000), and furniture and home furnishings stores (-209,000). By contrast, the component of general merchandise stores that includes warehouse clubs and supercenters gained 93,000 jobs.

In April, manufacturing employment dropped by 1.3 million. About two-thirds of the decline was in durable goods manufacturing (-914,000), which saw losses in motor vehicles and parts (-382,000) and in fabricated metal products (-109,000). Nondurable goods manufacturing shed 416,000 jobs.

Employment in the other services industry declined by 1.3 million in April, with nearly two-thirds of the decline occurring in personal and laundry services (-797,000).

Government employment dropped by 980,000 in April. Employment in local government was down by 801,000, in part reflecting
school closures. Employment also declined in state government education (-176,000).

Construction employment fell by 975,000 in April, with much of the loss in specialty trade contractors (-691,000). Job losses also occurred in construction of buildings (-206,000).

Employment fell in transportation and warehousing in April (-584,000). Transit and ground passenger transportation and air transportation lost 185,000 jobs and 141,000 jobs, respectively.

Wholesale trade shed 363,000 jobs in April, largely reflecting losses in the durable and nondurable goods components.

Employment in financial activities fell by 262,000 over the month, with the vast majority of the decline occurring in real estate and rental and leasing (-222,000).

Employment in information fell by 254,000 in April, driven by a decline in motion picture and sound recording industries (-217,000).

Mining lost 46,000 jobs in April, with most of the decline occurring in support activities for mining (-33,000).

In April, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by $1.34 to $30.01. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees increased by $1.04 to $25.12 in April. The increases in average hourly earnings largely reflect the substantial job loss among lower-paid workers; this change, along with earnings increases, put upward pressure on the average hourly earnings estimates. (See tables B-3 and B-8.)

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 0.1 hour to 34.2 hours in April. In manufacturing, the workweek declined by 2.1 hours to 38.3 hours, and overtime declined by 0.9 hour to 2.1 hours. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 0.1 hour to 33.5 hours. (See tables B-2 and B-7.)

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for February was revised down by 45,000 from +275,000 to +230,000, and the change for March was revised down by 169,000 from -701,000 to -870,000. With these revisions, employment changes in February and March combined were 214,000 lower than previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.)

_____________
The Employment Situation for May is scheduled to be released on Friday, June 5, 2020, at 8:30 a.m. (EDT).


_______________________________________________________________________________________________________
|
|
| Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact on April 2020 Establishment and Household Survey Data
|
|
| Data collection for both surveys was affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. The household
| survey is generally collected through in-person and telephone interviews, but personal interviews
| were not conducted for the safety of interviewers and respondents. The household survey response
| rate, at 70 percent, was about 13 percentage points lower than in months prior to the pandemic.
| In the establishment survey, approximately one-fifth of the data is collected at four regional data
| collection centers. Although these centers were closed, about half of the interviewers at these
| centers worked remotely to collect data by telephone. Additionally, BLS encouraged businesses to
| report electronically. The collection rate for the establishment survey in April was 74.9 percent,
| essentially unchanged from collection rates prior to the pandemic.
|
| In the establishment survey, workers who are paid by their employer for all or any part of the pay
| period including the 12th of the month are counted as employed, even if they were not actually at
| their jobs. Workers who are temporarily or permanently absent from their jobs and are not being
| paid are not counted as employed, even if they are continuing to receive benefits. The length of
| the reference period does vary across the respondents in the establishment survey; one-third of
| businesses have a weekly pay period, slightly over 40 percent a bi-weekly, about 20 percent
| semi-monthly, and a small amount monthly.
|
| There was a change to the estimation method used in the establishment survey for April. Business
| births and deaths cannot be adequately captured by the establishment survey as they occur. Therefore,
| the establishment survey estimates use a model to account for the relatively stable net employment
| change generated by business births and deaths. Due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the
| relationship between the two was no longer stable in April. Therefore, the establishment survey
| made modifications to the birth-death model. For more information, see
| www.bls.gov/cps/employment-situation-covid19-faq-april-2020.pdf.
|
| In the household survey, individuals are classified as employed, unemployed, or not in the labor
| force based on their answers to a series of questions about their activities during the survey
| reference week (April 12th through April 18th). Workers who indicate they were not working during
| the entire survey reference week and expect to be recalled to their jobs should be classified as
| unemployed on temporary layoff. In April, there was an extremely large increase in the number of
| persons classified as unemployed on temporary layoff.
|
| However, there was also a large increase in the number of workers who were classified as employed
| but absent from work. As was the case in March, special instructions sent to household survey
| interviewers called for all employed persons absent from work due to coronavirus-related business
| closures to be classified as unemployed on temporary layoff. However, it is apparent that not all
| such workers were so classified.
|
| If the workers who were recorded as employed but absent from work due to "other reasons" (over
| and above the number absent for other reasons in a typical April) had been classified as unemployed
| on temporary layoff, the overall unemployment rate would have been almost 5 percentage points higher
| than reported (on a not seasonally adjusted basis). However, according to usual practice, the data
| from the household survey are accepted as recorded. To maintain data integrity, no ad hoc actions
| are taken to reclassify survey responses.
|
| More information is available at www.bls.gov/cps/employment-situation-covid19-faq-april-2020.pdf.
|
|______________________________________________________________________________________________________

Employment Situation Summary Table A. Household data, seasonally adjusted
Employment Situation Summary Table B. Establishment data, seasonally adjusted
Employment Situation Frequently Asked Questions
Employment Situation Technical Note
Table A-1. Employment status of the civilian population by sex and age
Table A-2. Employment status of the civilian population by race, sex, and age
Table A-3. Employment status of the Hispanic or Latino population by sex and age
Table A-4. Employment status of the civilian population 25 years and over by educational attainment
Table A-5. Employment status of the civilian population 18 years and over by veteran status, period of service, and sex, not seasonally adjusted
Table A-6. Employment status of the civilian population by sex, age, and disability status, not seasonally adjusted
Table A-7. Employment status of the civilian population by nativity and sex, not seasonally adjusted
Table A-8. Employed persons by class of worker and part-time status
Table A-9. Selected employment indicators
Table A-10. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted
Table A-11. Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment
Table A-12. Unemployed persons by duration of unemployment
Table A-13. Employed and unemployed persons by occupation, not seasonally adjusted
Table A-14. Unemployed persons by industry and class of worker, not seasonally adjusted
Table A-15. Alternative measures of labor underutilization
Table A-16. Persons not in the labor force and multiple jobholders by sex, not seasonally adjusted
Table B-1. Employees on nonfarm payrolls by industry sector and selected industry detail
Table B-2. Average weekly hours and overtime of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls by industry sector, seasonally adjusted
Table B-3. Average hourly and weekly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls by industry sector, seasonally adjusted
Table B-4. Indexes of aggregate weekly hours and payrolls for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls by industry sector, seasonally adjusted
Table B-5. Employment of women on nonfarm payrolls by industry sector, seasonally adjusted
Table B-6. Employment of production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls by industry sector, seasonally adjusted(1)
Table B-7. Average weekly hours and overtime of production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls by industry sector, seasonally adjusted(1)
Table B-8. Average hourly and weekly earnings of production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls by industry sector, seasonally adjusted(1)
Table B-9. Indexes of aggregate weekly hours and payrolls for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls by industry sector, seasonally adjusted(1)

Access to historical data for the "A" tables of the Employment Situation News Release
Access to historical data for the "B" tables of the Employment Situation News Release
HTML version of the entire news release
The PDF version of the news release
News release charts
Supplemental Files Table of Contents
Table of Contents
Last Modified Date: May 08, 2020

* * * * *

[center]Facilities for Sensory Impaired[/center]

Information from these releases will be made available to sensory impaired individuals upon request. Voice phone: 202-691-5200, Federal Relay Services: 1-800-877-8339.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Right on time. From the source: mahatmakanejeeves May 2020 #1
I stayed on WaPo's front page and refreshed to try to grab it BumRushDaShow May 2020 #4
I'm waiting for the usual crowd to start up with the "I don't trust the numbers" chant. mahatmakanejeeves May 2020 #6
One of my sisters already texted that sentiment BumRushDaShow May 2020 #8
I have no doubt it's seasonally adjusted somehow. Hugin May 2020 #26
First time I have ever been sitting on the BLS website denem May 2020 #7
That's a shame. BumRushDaShow May 2020 #10
It's fun, isn't it? I don't mean this month's numbers, but the constant hitting of mahatmakanejeeves May 2020 #13
A trip down memory lane. denem May 2020 #19
"...brought employment to its lowest level since February 2011.." (?) Try June 1999, BLS. sandensea May 2020 #42
Looks right to me -- it's talking about the Establishment Survey's nonfarm payroll employment progree May 2020 #43
Yes - that's the one. Thank you. sandensea May 2020 #44
All's I "know" is from the summary and from the technical note .. progree May 2020 #46
Which is funny, b/c they usually use the Population Survey as the metric for emp/unemp data sandensea May 2020 #47
The BLS always presented it this way -- the Establishment Survey data for the number of jobs, and progree May 2020 #48
They were still cherry-picking. It's the lowest since 1999, not '2011' sandensea May 2020 #49
I don't think so. But again, if you can find something in the past progree May 2020 #50
I just gave it to you: The Statistical Abstract of the U.S. (as far back as you like) sandensea May 2020 #52
Then the survey size is of no importance? What the BLS reports on the sample size of the progree May 2020 #53
"When presidents crow about how "since taking office x million jobs have been created..." progree May 2020 #54
Interesting, nothing is available online after 2012, or at all? progree May 2020 #55
Interesting - the 2012 Statistical Abstract includes the Establishment Survey beginning progree May 2020 #56
Are we tired of winning yet? nt Atticus May 2020 #2
These are horrible numbers Gothmog May 2020 #3
And the DOW is up 300 points?!? They seeing a lot of good in 20M losing their jobs? Bengus81 May 2020 #29
The usual: "not as bad as expected", "the market is forward looking" blah blah progree May 2020 #32
Yep....highest unemployment since the Great Depression but Wall St. says..eh,could have been worse!! Bengus81 May 2020 #35
Investors expected the numbers to be worse. n/t Laelth May 2020 #33
We've been reading all day Thursday that 33 million have filed unemployment claims, and the week progree May 2020 #34
Quick....tell investors that the BLS is looking at unemployment numbers of 35% in June Bengus81 May 2020 #57
I agree, there will come a point when "horrible but not as bad as expected" no longer works n/t progree May 2020 #58
In line with expectations (15%) ? denem May 2020 #5
The highest since 1935 sandensea May 2020 #9
Links to charts and graphs from the BLS Twitter account: mahatmakanejeeves May 2020 #11
Anyone remember Trump claiming unemployment was "20 or even 30 percent" in 2016? sop May 2020 #12
HEY GOP ECONOMISTS WHO DON'T BELIEVE IN THE LABOR THEORY OF VALUE! bucolic_frolic May 2020 #14
Actually it's small business that is going to suffer, gab13by13 May 2020 #23
Don't defuse the post by changing the subject bucolic_frolic May 2020 #25
My post is about supply side trickle down economics, gab13by13 May 2020 #27
Easy enough for them to answer FBaggins May 2020 #24
Coronavirus costs the U.S. 20.5 million jobs in April, unemployment soars to 14.7% UpInArms May 2020 #15
The new Herbert Hoover is trump Gothmog May 2020 #16
Additional information: mahatmakanejeeves May 2020 #17
Reference week, April 12th through April 18th. denem May 2020 #18
That will be the next data he will hide or modify to suit his reelection. They're not quite... machoneman May 2020 #20
Additional links: mahatmakanejeeves May 2020 #21
Links to earlier reports: mahatmakanejeeves May 2020 #22
Not as bad as expected, according to MarketWatch's 15 economists. S&P 500 up 1.19%, Dow up 1.36% progree May 2020 #28
We'll probably never see the peak unemployment number in a jobs report mathematic May 2020 #30
Unemployment rate may be almost 5% higher than the reported 14.7%, says BLS in so many words: progree May 2020 #31
As always, look at the U6. maddogesq May 2020 #36
Here's the graph of the U-6 unemployment rate -- the broadest measure that BLS produces progree May 2020 #39
So, according to math... TXPaganBanker May 2020 #37
Winning Baby!!!! Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin May 2020 #38
wait for Trump to accuse the BLS of being the dreaded "deep state" conspiracists and.... steve2470 May 2020 #40
BLS cooking the books again for the Emperor Cryptoad May 2020 #41
"I will be the greatest jobs president that God has ever created," Trump, June 16th, 2015. usregimechange May 2020 #45
Lowest employment-to-population ratio in the history of the series (which goes back to 1948) progree May 2020 #51
Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Jobless rate soared to 14...»Reply #1