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progree

(10,989 posts)
4. Graphs: *CORE* CPI month by month and rolling 3 month average. EDIT: and regular CPI. And PCE core and regular
Wed Apr 10, 2024, 08:55 AM
Apr 10

Last edited Wed Apr 10, 2024, 07:35 PM - Edit history (3)

I'll add some words later, but for now, the CORE CPI - which the Fed and most economists view as a better basis for projecting *FUTURE* inflation than the regular CPI. (The regular CPI aka "headline" CPI has all the components; the CORE CPI is that less food and energy because they are very volatile from month to month -- well energy certainly is). Anyway, if trying to figure out what the Fed might do, the core CPI is what they look at (actually the core PCE which came out at the end of March is what they put the most weight on). Blah blah

ETA: these are calculated from the actual index values, not from the rounded percent changes
http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0L1E



ETA: The Regular aka Headline CPI
https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0



ETA: CORE PCE through February that came out 3/29/24
CORE PCE: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCEPILFE

This is the one that the Fed weighs most heavily. The Fed weigh the PCE more heavily than the CPI. And in both cases, they weigh the CORE measures higher than the regular headline measures



ETA: Regular PCE through February that came out 3/29/24
PCE: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCEPI


ETA: Added links to the CORE PCE and the PCE data
ETA: Added link to the regular CPI.

Flipped the stock futures from green to red NewHendoLib Apr 10 #1
The Federal Reserve needs to jack up interest rates some more. James48 Apr 10 #2
Disagree Johnny2X2X Apr 10 #5
Fed is too weak and too late to the inflation fight, as usual, as per the 1970s bucolic_frolic Apr 10 #3
Graphs: *CORE* CPI month by month and rolling 3 month average. EDIT: and regular CPI. And PCE core and regular progree Apr 10 #4
Thanks and good morning! BumRushDaShow Apr 10 #6
I've been hearing that since about September 2022 -- a year and a half ago -- progree Apr 10 #9
They have been "predicting" although I did see articles where there are some small drops BumRushDaShow Apr 10 #10
It was back in September 2022 and many times I've looked at the news since all these many months progree Apr 10 #12
AND BumRushDaShow Apr 10 #13
Fed weighs PCE even more Johnny2X2X Apr 10 #8
I added PCE and Core PCE to my assemblage of graphs in my #4 above progree Apr 10 #18
On average. Igel Apr 11 #29
Actually Johnny2X2X Apr 11 #31
Well, any such thing should DAMNED well include energy The Mouth Apr 10 #19
I'm showing graphs in #4 that include food and energy (the regular headline numbers) and the ones without it (core) progree Apr 10 #21
Thanks The Mouth Apr 11 #24
And thank you. I hate inflation too -- I was a young adult in the late 70's early 80's great inflation progree Apr 11 #25
I watched it wipe out my family's savings and future The Mouth Apr 11 #27
The business media and the GQP want us to crap our pants moniss Apr 10 #7
They are trying to equate "3.5%" being as bad as "9%" BumRushDaShow Apr 10 #11
I'm surprised it was that low hueymahl Apr 10 #14
I believe that's because what we feel is cumulative as opposed to a discrete point. When I buy groceries, my natural 24601 Apr 10 #17
In your example above, a 32% price increase over 3 years would indicate higher than reported inflation in 1/3 years SpicyBoi Apr 10 #22
We all have our own benchmark items we pay attention to. For some it's milk & eggs. For others, it's a gallon of gas. 24601 Apr 10 #23
In my world it's GASOLINE and ELECTRICITY The Mouth Apr 11 #28
The economy isn't that bad if people keep buying stuff IronLionZion Apr 10 #15
Nope. Igel Apr 11 #30
Costco style bulk purchasing is very American IronLionZion Apr 11 #32
Looking at CNBC.... Turbineguy Apr 10 #16
Email 'Mistake' on Inflation Data Prompts Questions on What Is Shared mahatmakanejeeves Apr 10 #20
Laissez-Faire Marthe48 Apr 11 #26
Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Consumer prices rose 3.5%...»Reply #4