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lees1975

(3,981 posts)
Tue Apr 30, 2024, 11:15 AM Apr 30

Ignoring the mainstream media's sensational hype of the 2024 election, things are not nearly so bad as you think. [View all]

https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/04/can-medias-hype-of-2024-election-be.html

The impression that we are given is of a close rerun of the 2020 election, polls shifting back and forth as the GOP makes it clear Trump will be renominated, and the Democrats go with Biden. Trumpies are planning violence at their candidates insistence that he's not being treated fairly, third party candidates and independents are being given a huge share of media time, far beyond what their support warrants, and the fact that the GOP's presumptive nominee faces 88 indictments and is now on trial, giving all kinds of fodder to the sensationalism.

But, is that a realistic perspective of what's actually happening?


---snip---

What I do think will happen is that President Biden will comfortably win the 2024 election. He'll carry all the same states he did in 2020, expanding his margins of victory in Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin and Michigan, he'll pick up North Carolina and Florida, and has a good chance of adding Ohio. He'll get a Democratic House of Representatives by a comfortable margin and he'll have a senate in which he won't have to worry about the whims and whines of Joe Manchin or Kristen Sinema.

I don't think that's just wishful thinking. I think that's a fairly accurate analysis, based on doing some digging, applying logic and listening to the few independent media sources who seem to be on the ball when it comes to finding out what is really happening. It seems, by observation, that Trump has lost more than he can afford to lose from his party, whether their current, out of touch leadership is willing to admit that or not. He already lost independent voters, and isn't doing anything to get them back. His campaign of retribution and vengeance is even turning off some notable conservative, Evangelical support. He has to increase his base to win, not decrease it, and with the electoral college relic still a factor, he has no place to go to make things any different than they were in 2020.
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