FWIW, the bookies' odds still show 'leave' as most likely (Reply #14)

In the discussion thread: Two diff ppl in past 2 days have told me "If England votes to Leave, I don't want to stay here." [View all]

Response to auntpurl (Original post)

Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:50 PM

muriel_volestrangler (99,477 posts)

14. FWIW, the bookies' odds still show 'leave' as most likely

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result?selectionName=leave

though it's getting closer. This close to the vote, I think they'll have already done what they can to even up their financial exposure to each side, and should be giving odds based mainly on their actual guess for the likelihood of the outcome. There's a chart here which I think is mainly based on those odds, so you can see where the movement has been: http://predictwise.com/politics/uk-politics

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Replies to this discussion thread

28 replies	Author	Time	Post
Two diff ppl in past 2 days have told me "If England votes to Leave, I don't want to stay here." [View all]	auntpurl	Jun 2016	OP
It'd make it a worse place, but I wouldn't go that far	muriel_volestrangler	Jun 2016	#1
It's how I felt in America when Bush won his second term.	auntpurl	Jun 2016	#2
...	Ironing Man	Jun 2016	#3
Yeah, nothing is going to happen even if Leave wins for something like 3 years	auntpurl	Jun 2016	#4
So the UK's MEPs would just go on being MEPs?	Ken Burch	Jun 2016	#15
Yeah, they'll carry on until there's a formal exit	muriel_volestrangler	Jun 2016	#16
We've talked about Scotland too as we live in Northumberland, only one stop away.	non sociopath skin	Jun 2016	#6
I left in 1987.	Ghost Dog	Jun 2016	#5
Not an option for me but, until this week, I hadn't even considered that the Leavers might win.	Nihil	Jun 2016	#7
We've got a similar issue with elderly family	auntpurl	Jun 2016	#8
I sympathise.	Nihil	Jun 2016	#9
Good point.	auntpurl	Jun 2016	#10
Fucking Murdoch's Sun...	Ghost Dog	Jun 2016	#11
Not in any imminent future...	LeftishBrit	Jun 2016	#12
I don't think anyone has any real idea of what's going to happen if we Leave	auntpurl	Jun 2016	#13
FWIW, the bookies' odds still show 'leave' as most likely	muriel_volestrangler	Jun 2016	#14
The unfortunate reality is if England votes Leave	geardaddy	Jun 2016	#17
Not to mention screwing over Scotland, Northern Ireland, and most of England!	LeftishBrit	Jun 2016	#18
Yes, indeed!	geardaddy	Jun 2016	#19
Welsh polls are very similar to whole-of-Britain ones	muriel_volestrangler	Jun 2016	#20
Agreed.	geardaddy	Jun 2016	#21
Depends where the manufacturing goes	T_i_B	Jun 2016	#22
A friend of mine is wondering about moving north of the border	muriel_volestrangler	Jun 2016	#23
I think they will need a fair bit of infrastructure	T_i_B	Jun 2016	#24
Well, all I can say to both of you is	Denzil_DC	Jun 2016	#25
My liver is going to improve because of this!	T_i_B	Jun 2016	#28
That is what concerns me auntpurl, and the potential for xenophobia to spread	still_one	Jun 2016	#26
Some people always say such things in advance of an unfortunate anticipated result of an election.	Just reading posts	Jun 2016	#27

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