2016 Postmortem
Showing Original Post only (View all)State of the Primary - February 13, 2016 [View all]
[font color="blue"]Delegate Count
Total Delegates (AP): Clinton 394, Sanders 44.
Pledged Delegates: Sanders 36, Clinton 32.
Delegate Targets (Cook): Clinton +7, Sanders -7.
Next Primary
Nevada, February 20 (35 pledged delegates).
Latest Polls
Nevada (TargetPoint): Clinton 45, Sanders 45.
Current Polls-Plus Projections (538)
Nevada: Clinton/Sanders 50%.
South Carolina: Clinton 95%.
Michigan: Clinton 97%.
North Carolina: Clinton 96%.
Current Endorsement Score (538)
Clinton 467, Sanders 2.[/font]
[font color="brown"]Quick Glance at the GOP
Pledged Delegates: Trump 17, Cruz 11, Rubio 10.
Delegate Targets: Trump -4, Cruz -5, Rubio -10.
538 South Carolina Projection: Trump 64%, Rubio 15%.
Endorsement Score: Rubio 65, Bush 51, Kasich 20.[/font]
Comments
That TargetPoint poll is a pro-Sanders push poll conducted by the far-right Washington Free Beacon. 538's projection is based on it, however, because it's the only recent poll.
This is a daily sheet I started to compile a few days ago, just for my own reference. My qualifications for objectivity are a similar project I ran in the 2012 general election, as well as the fact that I relied on subjective information in 2004 and was completely blindsided when Kerry lost. I intended to post this in the Hillary Clinton group, but I'll give it a pilot test in GD-P, and we'll see if both sides deem it useful (and can keep it civil and stuff). If you have a suggestion for a scorecard or model not covered above, let me know.
[font color="purple"]Pun of the Day
I don't know why the calendar maker fired me. All I did was take a day off![/font]
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This information is useful, and belongs in GD:P. | |
8 (89%) |
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This information is useful, but belongs in the Hillary group (and I'll say why in the comments). | |
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This information is not useful (and I'll say why in the comments). | |
1 (11%) |
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll |