2016 Postmortem

leveymg

(36,418 posts)

42. Bush was Reagan's VP and the coattails were long.

Thu Mar 3, 2016, 04:42 PM

Mar 2016

That seems to have been the major factor along with Willy Horton and how very silly Mike looked in a tank.

I would also conclude that was another political era, one still dominated by Reagan and the Cold War. We're in a different world, literally.

Correlations aren't universal laws of cause and effect, they only hold to true to a degree within specific boundaries.

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Republicans not voting or will vote for Hillary if Trump is the nominee. [View all] DCBob Mar 2016 OP

Mostly a protest vote. They really want to pick her as our nominee for us. Don't fall for it. nt silvershadow Mar 2016 #1

Nah.. they want "Bernie the socialist". DCBob Mar 2016 #2

You have to respect these people madaboutharry Mar 2016 #3

It is remarkable. DCBob Mar 2016 #5

They hate hillary 2pooped2pop Mar 2016 #4

I think they hate him more. DCBob Mar 2016 #8

Not as much as they hate Trump. grossproffit Mar 2016 #9

How do you know? Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Mar 2016 #14

Well Hillary supporters say daily that republicans hate her 2pooped2pop Mar 2016 #16

The more repubs that stay home the better. You understand that don't you? onenote Mar 2016 #19

Well duh 2pooped2pop Mar 2016 #23

Virginia: important purple state onenote Mar 2016 #24

Nope compare dem turnout from 08 2pooped2pop Mar 2016 #25

And repub turnout if Trump is candidate will be horrible onenote Mar 2016 #26

I'm not too sure 2pooped2pop Mar 2016 #30

There is no correlation between turnout in primaries and the results in general onenote Mar 2016 #31

Back at cha. 2pooped2pop Mar 2016 #32

Where do you get that stuff? There is a correlation, but it is weakening as voters become more leveymg Mar 2016 #40

Can you explain 1988 for me? onenote Mar 2016 #41

Bush was Reagan's VP and the coattails were long. leveymg Mar 2016 #42

Trump is an evil loser. Hillary would make him cry. grossproffit Mar 2016 #6

Even if some did, their turnout is way higher than ours right now revbones Mar 2016 #7

I think it could build if more and more speak out. DCBob Mar 2016 #10

Meh. Maybe if she gets the nom it will help cancel the lack of enthusiasm for her. revbones Mar 2016 #11

Definitely a strange election cycle Dem2 Mar 2016 #12

It's a few GOP elite who are upset with Trump who might jump ship. leveymg Mar 2016 #13

It remains to be seen if it will actually help. DCBob Mar 2016 #15

It is upon us. Super Tues is over. leveymg Mar 2016 #17

Yet according to latest CNN poll, Clinton tops Trump 52% to 44% among registered voters. DCBob Mar 2016 #18

That's not what polls were showing previously. leveymg Mar 2016 #20

This is a new one.. DCBob Mar 2016 #22

This is that same CNN/ORC poll you cited. I prefer hard turnout numbers anyway. leveymg Mar 2016 #33

You asked about polls. DCBob Mar 2016 #35

thnx leveymg Mar 2016 #36

Virginia: important purple state onenote Mar 2016 #21

4 candidates Livluvgrow Mar 2016 #27

There is no correlation between turnout in a primary and outcome in GE. onenote Mar 2016 #29

Here's a Harvard study and other data shows that turnout in primaries and the GE do correlate leveymg Mar 2016 #39

1988 onenote Mar 2016 #38

VA is an outlier. Research shows a correlation but it is diminishing leveymg Mar 2016 #37

Ironic, I think Sanders was hoping for those votes. bettyellen Mar 2016 #28

I see more and more of these every day. Trump is going down! JaneyVee Mar 2016 #34