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2016 Postmortem

randome

(34,845 posts)

12. Even then he isn't catching up. He's further behind as of yesterday.

Reply to EmperorHasNoClothes (Reply #7)

Wed Mar 9, 2016, 10:12 AM

Mar 2016

Are you saying he will outperform every single poll from now until the nomination? Maybe so but I still don't see it happening. And the polling will start taking into consideration that he's doing better than expected, which means they will become more accurate. Nate Silver has been more accurate than not so I'd still put my money on methodology rather than wishing.

Anything is possible, of course.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]A 90% chance of rain means the same as a 10% chance:
It might rain and it might not.[/center][/font][hr]

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Clinton wins by losing [View all] SecularMotion Mar 2016 OP

Excellent news! NurseJackie Mar 2016 #1

The Oligarchy is still nervous. They hate an activated populace. rhett o rick Mar 2016 #10

Clinton won by winning big. NCTraveler Mar 2016 #2

it was not a champagne-popper night, but it also was not a reason for concern DrDan Mar 2016 #3

You are aware that independents are allowed to vote in the general election Bettie Mar 2016 #5

ridiculous - of course they can vote in the GE - but a party's candidate should be selected DrDan Mar 2016 #16

Party members tend Bettie Mar 2016 #20

Independents... TTUBatfan2008 Mar 2016 #9

they can vote in the GE - why should they decide who will represent a particular party DrDan Mar 2016 #17

Agreed ... in more ways than one. I'll leave it at that ... NurseJackie Mar 2016 #13

It's all about momentum at this point. EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #4

So you're using extrapolation to predict the future? Isn't that part of what polling does? randome Mar 2016 #6

Not by one win. EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #7

Even then he isn't catching up. He's further behind as of yesterday. randome Mar 2016 #12

Actually, I'm using Nate Silver's numbers. EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #15

Aren't you ignoring the states where he was correct? randome Mar 2016 #18

you can post as many of these as you want, but it doesnt change the truth restorefreedom Mar 2016 #8

Clinton has been hanging on for a year. Our momentum is continuing to grow. We rhett o rick Mar 2016 #11

"Including superdelegates" Lizzie Poppet Mar 2016 #14

No reason to worry! Mufaddal Mar 2016 #19