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2016 Postmortem

In reply to the discussion: So, is Michigan a draw? [View all]

muriel_volestrangler

(101,318 posts)
2. You'd need to see the votes by congressional district
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 06:55 AM
Feb 2012

Last edited Wed Feb 29, 2012, 02:34 PM - Edit history (2)

The Green Papers website thought it had enough info to say which way 13 districts had gone, but it didn't give the margins. But remember this is largely an election by district; so those are the results that matter, not the statewide total (which was always going to divide up its 2 votes as 1 for Romney, 1 for Santorum - one would need to drop below 25% to lose their statewide delegate).

That's why decent reporting would show the results by district, not county.

Ah, a local report, which says it's CD 13 that was undecided at 11:30 local time: http://www.freep.com/article/20120228/NEWS15/120228082/Romney-Santorum-split-Michigan-s-delegates

CD 13 is "Detroit and portions of western Wayne County" - and was called by Green Papers for Romney, which makes sense (NYT site says Wayne is 100% counted, and Romney won there). So Maybe the final result is 17-13 to Romney, after all.

But the media (a) hasn't worked this out and (b) is rarely admitting that this, the actual result, depends on the new congressional districts, not the counties or statewide total.

On edit: It's a draw: http://www.freep.com/article/20120229/NEWS15/120229013/Romney-Santorum-split-Michigan-congressional-districts

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