2016 Postmortem

Kilgore

(1,733 posts) Sat Sep 17, 2016, 10:42 AM Sep 2016

Say it ain't so Nate....538 Poll [View all]

Election Update: Democrats Should Panic … If The Polls Still Look Like This In A Week

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-democrats-should-panic-if-the-polls-still-look-like-this-in-a-week/

I hope Hillary has a great week, and Trump does something spectacularly stupid.

54 replies

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Say it ain't so Nate....538 Poll [View all] Kilgore Sep 2016 OP

Democrats Should Panic? ffr Sep 2016 #1

No Democrats should not panic. If Trump were to win even you should panic. But he won't and we upaloopa Sep 2016 #2

My heart says our country will prove its better than Trump. bullimiami Sep 2016 #3

I will be honest Cosmocat Sep 2016 #39

This message was self-deleted by its author radius777 Sep 2016 #44

Well, the world wouldn't be okay. The way I moonscape Sep 2016 #45

Here is the thing about Bush II Cosmocat Sep 2016 #48

Thank you. The people in this country have gone crazy; it's been a combination of Nay Sep 2016 #51

Next Tuesday underpants Sep 2016 #4

The best model is how voters effect the electoral count. We know pretty much Ttrump can't win that upaloopa Sep 2016 #5

You are right underpants Sep 2016 #11

It will be Hillary in an EC landslide. CanadaexPat Sep 2016 #6

Nate's model oscillates too much Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #7

538 is actually very good at its intended purpose Orrex Sep 2016 #9

^^^This!^^^ Blue Idaho Sep 2016 #18

+1 uponit7771 Sep 2016 #14

So, wait. You are suggesting an epistemology where one Imperialism Inc. Sep 2016 #20

That's why I didn't suggest it Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #21

Sure you did. Imperialism Inc. Sep 2016 #23

Incorrect Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #28

He actually shows 3 models: backscatter712 Sep 2016 #27

That last one troubles me Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #30

Are you throwing a party? alcibiades_mystery Sep 2016 #8

You never know ? DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2016 #16

No way, we need to redouble the GOTV efforts!! Kilgore Sep 2016 #17

Mmmm-hmm alcibiades_mystery Sep 2016 #25

Perfect example of shooting your own on DU. Kilgore Sep 2016 #33

Who you're fooling... alcibiades_mystery Sep 2016 #43

I'll take Clinton 60 vs trump 40 anyday - asiliveandbreathe Sep 2016 #10

+1 uponit7771 Sep 2016 #15

Silver ought to panic moman Sep 2016 #12

What a downer, thanks. book_worm Sep 2016 #13

The LA Times poll today already has Trump losing ground. RAFisher Sep 2016 #19

That is encouraging. n/t Chemisse Sep 2016 #36

Trump ALWAYS says something spectacularly stupid DFW Sep 2016 #22

Ethereal Cereal Kilgore Sep 2016 #24

Never heard of Ethereal Cereal or Putney Swope? Allow me to introduce you.... DFW Sep 2016 #40

yep... of course he does, and of course the media downplays it Fast Walker 52 Sep 2016 #47

He does something spectacularly stupid every week tymorial Sep 2016 #26

I hope Hillary will begin talking about issues. Duval Sep 2016 #29

Disagree moman Sep 2016 #35

The problem is that the media won't cover her 'issues' comments. Chemisse Sep 2016 #37

The problem is: Trumps so incredibly dangerous to our national health Ligyron Sep 2016 #31

It is trully amazing Chemisse Sep 2016 #38

It means there is something seriously, seriously wrong with this country. nt Nay Sep 2016 #52

I agree. Chemisse Sep 2016 #54

I swear I remember reading something strikingly similar in 2012 after the first debate. Drunken Irishman Sep 2016 #32

Panic away but she's still going to win, and probably win big. ucrdem Sep 2016 #34

That map still gives Hillary a 279-259 win. I will gladly take that. DCBob Sep 2016 #41

wanna stay sane? fierywoman Sep 2016 #42

Thanks For The Link nt JimGinPA Sep 2016 #46

I hope the Sun keeps rising in the East and setting in the West. randome Sep 2016 #49

Under normal circumstances, Nate is right NHDEMFORLIFE Sep 2016 #50

National stress level must be close to red-lining Loge23 Sep 2016 #53